Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36154975›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery2023

Causal determinants of postoperative length of stay in cardiac surgery using causal graphical learning.

Jaron J R Lee, Ranjani Srinivasan, Chin Siang Ong, Diane Alejo, Stefano Schena, Ilya Shpitser, Marc Sussman, Glenn J R Whitman, Daniel Malinsky

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Jaron J R LeeDepartment of Computer Science, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Md; Malone Center for Engineering in Healthcare, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Md. Electronic address: jaron.lee@jhu.edu.
Ranjani SrinivasanMalone Center for Engineering in Healthcare, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Md; Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Md.
Chin Siang OngDivision of Surgical Outcomes, Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Conn.
Diane AlejoDivision of Cardiac Surgery, Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Md.
Stefano SchenaDivision of Cardiac Surgery, Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Md.
Ilya ShpitserDepartment of Computer Science, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Md; Malone Center for Engineering in Healthcare, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Md.
Marc SussmanDivision of Cardiac Surgery, Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Md.
Glenn J R WhitmanDivision of Cardiac Surgery, Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Md.
Daniel MalinskyDepartment of Biostatistics, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY.
Johns Hopkins Hospital · USJohns Hopkins University · USColumbia University · USYale University · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Next Generation Missing Data Methods in HIV ResearchR01AI127271 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI TCHETGEN TCHETGEN, ERIC JOEL · 2017 to 2021
$3.2M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI127271
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe aimed to learn the causal determinants of postoperative length of stay in cardiac surgery patients undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass grafting or aortic valve replacement surgery.

methodsFor patients undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass grafting or isolated aortic valve replacement surgeries between 2011 and 2016, we used causal graphical modeling on electronic health record data. The Fast Causal Inference (FCI) algorithm from the Tetrad software was used on data to estimate a Partial Ancestral Graph (PAG) depicting direct and indirect causes of postoperative length of stay, given background clinical knowledge. Then, we used the latent variable intervention-calculus when the directed acyclic graph is absent (LV-IDA) algorithm to estimate strengths of causal effects of interest. Finally, we ran a linear regression for postoperative length of stay to contrast statistical associations with what was learned by our causal analysis.

resultsIn our cohort of 2610 patients, the mean postoperative length of stay was 219 hours compared with the Society of Thoracic Surgeons 2016 national mean postoperative length of stay of approximately 168 hours. Most variables that clinicians believe to be predictors of postoperative length of stay were found to be causes, but some were direct (eg, age, diabetes, hematocrit, total operating time, and postoperative complications), and others were indirect (including gender, race, and operating surgeon). The strongest average causal effects on postoperative length of stay were exhibited by preoperative dialysis (209 hours); neuro-, pulmonary-, and infection-related postoperative complications (315 hours, 89 hours, and 131 hours, respectively); reintubation (61 hours); extubation in operating room (-47 hours); and total operating room duration (48 hours). Linear regression coefficients diverged from causal effects in magnitude (eg, dialysis) and direction (eg, crossclamp time).

conclusionsBy using retrospective electronic health record data and background clinical knowledge, causal graphical modeling retrieved direct and indirect causes of postoperative length of stay and their relative strengths. These insights will be useful in designing clinical protocols and targeting improvements in patient management.

Indexed as

Cardiac Surgical ProceduresRenal DialysisHumansLength of StayPostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective Studiesaortic valve replacementcausal graph learningcausalitycoronary artery bypass graftingpostoperative length of stay

Identifiers

PMID36154975
PMCPMC9968823
OpenAlexW4293603677

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.