Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36153018›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2022

Development of the OPAL prediction model for prediction of live birth in couples with recurrent pregnancy loss: protocol for a prospective and retrospective cohort study in the Netherlands.

Angelos Youssef, Marie-Louise van der Hoorn, Rik van Eekelen, Nan van Geloven, Madelon van Wely, Myrthe A J Smits, Annemarie Mulders, Jan Mm van Lith, Mariëtte Goddijn, Eileen Lashley

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05167812 (On Pregnancy After Losses; Predicting Pregnancy Success in Couples With Recurrent Pregnancy Loss), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
0.2field-weighted citation impact, top 53% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05167812 not yet recruitingnot on this map

On Pregnancy After Losses; Predicting Pregnancy Success in Couples With Recurrent Pregnancy Loss

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorLeiden University Medical CenterRan2022 to 2028Enrolled1,931ConditionsRecurrent Pregnancy LossArmsObservation of pregnancies after intake
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Angelos YoussefObstetrics and Gynaecology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands a.youssef@lumc.nl.ORCID 0000-0003-4385-7971
Marie-Louise van der HoornObstetrics and Gynaecology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Rik van EekelenObstetrics and Gynaecology, Centre for Reproductive Medicine, Amsterdam Reproduction and Development Research Institute, Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Nan van GelovenDepartment of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-5600-9093
Madelon van WelyObstetrics and Gynaecology, Centre for Reproductive Medicine, Amsterdam Reproduction and Development Research Institute, Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Myrthe A J SmitsObstetrics and Gynaecology, Centre for Reproductive Medicine, Amsterdam Reproduction and Development Research Institute, Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Annemarie MuldersObstetrics and Gynaecology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Jan Mm van LithObstetrics and Gynaecology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Mariëtte GoddijnObstetrics and Gynaecology, Centre for Reproductive Medicine, Amsterdam Reproduction and Development Research Institute, Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Eileen LashleyObstetrics and Gynaecology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Leiden University Medical Center · NLAmsterdam University Medical Centers · NLErasmus MC · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionRecurrent pregnancy loss (RPL) is defined as the loss of two or more conceptions before 24 weeks gestation. Despite extensive diagnostic workup, in only 25%-40% an underlying cause is identified. Several factors may increase the risk for miscarriage, but the chance of a successful pregnancy is still high. Prognostic counselling plays a significant role in supportive care. The main limitation in current prediction models is the lack of a sufficiently large cohort, adjustment for relevant risk factors, and separation between cumulative live birth rate and the success chance in the next conception. In this project, we aim to make an individualised prognosis for the future chance of pregnancy success, which could lead to improved well-being and the ability managing reproductive choices. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: In this multicentre study, we will include both a prospective and a retrospective cohort of at least 931 and 1000 couples with RPL, respectively. Couples who have visited one of the three participating university hospitals in the Netherlands for intake are eligible for the study participation, with a follow-up duration of 5 years. General medical and obstetric history and reports of pregnancies after the initial consultation will be collected. Multiple imputation will be performed to cope for missing data. A Cox proportional hazards model for time to pregnancy will be developed to estimate the cumulative chance of a live birth within 3 years after intake. To dynamically estimate the chance of an ongoing pregnancy, given the outcome of earlier pregnancies after intake, a logistic regression model will be developed. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The Medical Ethical Research Committee of the Leiden University Medical Center approved this study protocol (N22.025). There are no risks or burden associated with this study. Participant written informed consent is required for both cohorts. Findings will be published in peer-reviewed journals and presentations at international conferences. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05167812.

Indexed as

Abortion, HabitualLive BirthFemaleHumansMulticenter Studies as TopicNetherlandsPregnancyPregnancy RateProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesEPIDEMIOLOGYMaternal medicineReproductive medicine

Identifiers

PMID36153018
PMCPMC9511582
OpenAlexW4297251107

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.