Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36152819›Full record

ArticlePreventive medicine2022

Impact of the e-cigarette era on cigarette smoking among youth in the United States: A population-level study.

Melissa B Harrell, Dale S Mantey, Baojiang Chen, Steven H Kelder, Jessica Barrington-Trimis

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Preventive medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Emerging use of oral nicotine pouches among Canadian adolescents: Findings from the COMPASS-Quebec study.Canadian journal of public health = Revue canadienne de sante publique · 2026
    Article
  4. Development of Survey Measures of Uncontrolled Vaping and Vaping Restraint.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Preventive medicine reports · 2025
    Review
  8. Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Adolescent Combustible Tobacco Smoking From 2014 to 2020: Declines Are Lagging Among Non-Hispanic Black Youth.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Melissa B HarrellUniversity of Texas School of Public Health, Austin, TX, United States of America; Michael & Susan Dell Center for Healthy Living, UTHealth School of Public Health Austin Campus, Austin, Texas, USA.
Dale S ManteyUniversity of Texas School of Public Health, Austin, TX, United States of America; Michael & Susan Dell Center for Healthy Living, UTHealth School of Public Health Austin Campus, Austin, Texas, USA. Electronic address: Dale.s.mantey@uth.tmc.edu.
Baojiang ChenUniversity of Texas School of Public Health, Austin, TX, United States of America; Michael & Susan Dell Center for Healthy Living, UTHealth School of Public Health Austin Campus, Austin, Texas, USA.
Steven H KelderUniversity of Texas School of Public Health, Austin, TX, United States of America; Michael & Susan Dell Center for Healthy Living, UTHealth School of Public Health Austin Campus, Austin, Texas, USA.
Jessica Barrington-TrimisUniversity of Southern California, Keck School of Medicine, Los Angeles, CA, United States of America.
The University of Texas at Austin · USUniversity of Southern California · US

Funding

Vaping Nicotine and Cannabis Across Adolescence and Young AdulthoodR01CA229617 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI BARRINGTON-TRIMIS, JESSICA LOUISE, LEVENTHAL, ADAM MATTHEW · 2019 to 2024
$4.3M
ENDS use trajectories from adolescence through young adulthood: A longitudinal study of risk factors and profilesR01CA239097 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI HARRELL, MELISSA BLYTHE · 2019 to 2023
$3.3M
Cancer Prevention and Control Research Training and Career Development ProgramT32CA057712 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI Bijal A. Balasubramanian, Maria Eulalia Fernandez · 2018 to 2026
$3.2M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA229617NCI NIH HHS R01 CA239097NCI NIH HHS T32 CA057712
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To examine and compare trends in past 30-day cigarette smoking among adolescents in the US from 2002 to 2019, before and after the onset of the "e-cigarette era" in 2014. Using National Youth Tobacco Survey (NYTS) data from 2002 to 2019, we modeled the prevalence of past 30-day cigarette smoking over time. A total of n = 274,551 (weighted N = 340,403,754) middle and high school students were included in this study. Interrupted time series analyses were used to examine changes in cigarette smoking over time and compare trends in cigarette smoking pre- and post-2014. Models were applied to the full sample and stratified by middle (6th-8th grade) and high school (9th-12th grade). The observed number of current adolescent cigarette smokers post-2014 was compared to the predicted number, given trends in cigarette smoking prevalence observed pre-2014. Among all students, past 30-day cigarette smoking declined by approximately 0.75% per year from 2002 to 2013 (p < 0.001). Following a significant drop in prevalence from 2013 to 2014 (1.64%; p < 0.001), the decline in past 30-day cigarette smoking slowed significantly to approximately 0.37% per year (p < 0.001), from 2015 to 2019. We estimate that the onset of the "e-cigarette era" in 2014 corresponded to over 1.66 million (95% CI: 1.57 m - 1.75 m) more past 30-day cigarette smokers from 2015 to 2019, cumulatively. The rate of decline in past 30-day cigarette smoking prevalence among adolescents observed since 2002 slowed with the onset of the "e-cigarette era" in 2014, providing evidence at a population-level for the "gateway effect."

Indexed as

Cigarette SmokingElectronic Nicotine Delivery SystemsTobacco ProductsAdolescentHumansPrevalenceSchoolsUnited StatesCigarettesElectronic cigarettesNicotineSmokingYouth

Identifiers

PMID36152819
PMCPMC10381788
OpenAlexW4296984761

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.