Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36147733›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology2022

Selective inference for effect modification via the lasso.

Qingyuan Zhao, Dylan S Small, Ashkan Ertefaie

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Predictors of teen sexual behavior.Children and youth services review · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. A reference-free R-learner for treatment recommendation.Statistical methods in medical research · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Learning Optimal Distributionally Robust Individualized Treatment Rules.Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2021
    Article
  10. Selecting Biomarkers for building optimal treatment selection rules using Kernel Machines.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Qingyuan ZhaoDepartment of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9902-2768
Dylan S SmallDepartment of Statistics and Data Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4928-2646
Ashkan ErtefaieDepartment of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, University of Rochester, Rochester, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2611-9512

Funding

Novel Designs and Methods to Remove Hidden Confounding Bias in Health SciencesR01AG065276 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI TCHETGEN TCHETGEN, ERIC JOEL · 2020 to 2024
$2.4M
Analyzing Sequential, Multiple Assignment, Randomized Trials in the Presence of Partial ComplianceR01DA048764 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI ERTEFAIE, ASHKAN · 2019 to 2022
$1.6M
Advancing personalized medicine in PD using harmonized multi-site clinical dataR61NS120240 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI ERTEFAIE, ASHKAN, MCDERMOTT, MICHAEL P · 2020 to 2021
$1.1M
Optimal dynamic treatment strategies for controlling alcohol use: novel methods for selecting and incorporating effect modifiersR21AA027571 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI ERTEFAIE, ASHKAN · 2019 to 2020
$423k
NIAAA NIH HHS R21 AA027571NIA NIH HHS R01 AG065276NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA048764NINDS NIH HHS R61 NS120240
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Effect modification occurs when the effect of the treatment on an outcome varies according to the level of other covariates and often has important implications in decision-making. When there are tens or hundreds of covariates, it becomes necessary to use the observed data to select a simpler model for effect modification and then make valid statistical inference. We propose a two-stage procedure to solve this problem. First, we use Robinson's transformation to decouple the nuisance parameters from the treatment effect of interest and use machine learning algorithms to estimate the nuisance parameters. Next, after plugging in the estimates of the nuisance parameters, we use the lasso to choose a low-complexity model for effect modification. Compared to a full model consisting of all the covariates, the selected model is much more interpretable. Compared to the univariate subgroup analyses, the selected model greatly reduces the number of false discoveries. We show that the conditional selective inference for the selected model is asymptotically valid given the rate assumptions in classical semiparametric regression. Extensive simulation studies are conducted to verify the asymptotic results and an epidemiological application is used to demonstrate the method.

Indexed as

causal inferencefalse coverage ratemachine learningpost-selection inferencesemiparametric regression

Identifiers

PMID36147733
PMCPMC9491375

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.