Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36138772›Full record

ArticleBiology2022

Dynamic Species Distribution Modeling Reveals the Pivotal Role of Human-Mediated Long-Distance Dispersal in Plant Invasion.

Christophe Botella, Pierre Bonnet, Cang Hui, Alexis Joly, David M Richardson

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
5.0field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. The spread of non-native species.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2026
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

Christophe BotellaCentre for Invasion Biology (CIB), Department of Botany & Zoology, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch 7602, South Africa.
Pierre BonnetBotany and Modeling of Plant Architecture and Vegetation (AMAP), CIRAD, CNRS, INRAE, IRD, University of Montpellier, 34398 Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0002-2828-4389
Cang HuiCentre for Invasion Biology, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch 7602, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-3660-8160
Alexis JolyInria, LIRMM, University of Montpellier, 34095 Montpellier, France.
David M RichardsonCentre for Invasion Biology (CIB), Department of Botany & Zoology, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch 7602, South Africa.
Stellenbosch University · ZAAfrican Institute for Mathematical Sciences · ZACentre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FRUniversité de Montpellier · FR

Funding

DSI-NRF Centre of Excellence for Invasion Biologylong-term research development project (Czech Academy of Sciences) RVO 67985939Millennium Trust, the National Research Foundation of South Africa 89967Mobility 2020 project (Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of the Czech Republic) CZ.02.2.69/0.0/0.0/18_053/0017850
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Plant invasions generate massive ecological and economic costs worldwide. Predicting their spatial dynamics is crucial to the design of effective management strategies and the prevention of invasions. Earlier studies highlighted the crucial role of long-distance dispersal in explaining the speed of many invasions. In addition, invasion speed depends highly on the duration of its lag phase, which may depend on the scaling of fecundity with age, especially for woody plants, even though empirical proof is still rare. Bayesian dynamic species distribution models enable the fitting of process-based models to partial and heterogeneous observations using a state-space modeling approach, thus offering a tool to test such hypotheses on past invasions over large spatial scales. We use such a model to explore the roles of long-distance dispersal and age-structured fecundity in the transient invasion dynamics of

Indexed as

Bayesian inferencebiological invasionscitizen sciencehuman-mediated dispersallong-distance dispersalmatrix population modelspopulation dynamicspresence-only dataspecies distribution models

Identifiers

PMID36138772
PMCPMC9495778
OpenAlexW4293686417

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.