Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36138150›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2022

Metabolomic profiles predict individual multidisease outcomes.

Thore Buergel, Jakob Steinfeldt, Greg Ruyoga, Maik Pietzner, Daniele Bizzarri, Dina Vojinovic, Julius Upmeier Zu Belzen, Lukas Loock, Paul Kittner, Lara Christmann and 22 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 256 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
256citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
30.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

256 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 371 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. The perspective of artificial intelligence for NMR.Magnetic resonance letters · 2027
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Expanding the pig metabolomics QTL catalog.Genetics, selection, evolution : GSE · 2026
    Article
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196 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

32 authors at 9 institutions in 5 countries.

Thore Buergel *Center for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1159-007X
Jakob Steinfeldt *Department of Cardiology, Campus Benjamin Franklin, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin and Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany.
Greg RuyogaCenter for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Maik PietznerComputational Medicine, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Daniele BizzarriMolecular Epidemiology, LUMC, Leiden, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6881-273X
Dina VojinovicDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Julius Upmeier Zu BelzenCenter for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0966-4458
Lukas LoockCenter for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Paul KittnerCenter for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Lara ChristmannCenter for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Noah HollmannCenter for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8556-518X
Henrik StrangaliesCenter for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Jana M BraungerCenter for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Benjamin WildCenter for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7492-8448
Scott T ChiesaInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4323-2189
Joachim SprangerDepartment of Endocrinology & Metabolism, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin and Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8900-4467
Fabian KlostermannDepartment of Neurology, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin and Berlin Institute of Health, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Erik B van den AkkerMolecular Epidemiology, LUMC, Leiden, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7693-0728
Stella TrompetDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5006-0528
Simon P MooijaartDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands.
Naveed SattarInstitute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1604-2593
J Wouter JukemaDepartment of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3246-8359
Birgit LavrijssenDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Maryam KavousiDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Mohsen GhanbariDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9476-7143
Mohammad A IkramDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0372-8585
Eline SlagboomMolecular Epidemiology, LUMC, Leiden, the Netherlands.
Mika KivimakiDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4699-5627
Claudia LangenbergComputational Medicine, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
John DeanfieldInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Roland EilsCenter for Digital Health, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany. roland.eils@bih-charite.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0034-4036
Ulf LandmesserDepartment of Cardiology, Campus Benjamin Franklin, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin and Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0214-3203
Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin · DELeiden University Medical Center · NLErasmus MC · NLUniversity College London · GBUniversity of Cambridge · GBHeidelberg University · DEHumboldt-Universität zu Berlin · DEUniversity of Glasgow · GBUniversity of Helsinki · FI

Funding

Education, socioeconomic status and Aging: transitions from multimorbidity to functional limitations and mortalityR01AG056477 · NIA · UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON · PI KIVIMAKI, MIKA J, SINGH-MANOUX, ARCHANA · 2018 to 2022
$2.8M
Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_QA137853Medical Research Council MC_UU_00006/1Medical Research Council MR/R024227/1Medical Research Council MR/S011676/1Medical Research Council MR/T033371/1NIA NIH HHS R01 AG056477Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 221854/Z/20/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Risk stratification is critical for the early identification of high-risk individuals and disease prevention. Here we explored the potential of nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy-derived metabolomic profiles to inform on multidisease risk beyond conventional clinical predictors for the onset of 24 common conditions, including metabolic, vascular, respiratory, musculoskeletal and neurological diseases and cancers. Specifically, we trained a neural network to learn disease-specific metabolomic states from 168 circulating metabolic markers measured in 117,981 participants with ~1.4 million person-years of follow-up from the UK Biobank and validated the model in four independent cohorts. We found metabolomic states to be associated with incident event rates in all the investigated conditions, except breast cancer. For 10-year outcome prediction for 15 endpoints, with and without established metabolic contribution, a combination of age and sex and the metabolomic state equaled or outperformed established predictors. Moreover, metabolomic state added predictive information over comprehensive clinical variables for eight common diseases, including type 2 diabetes, dementia and heart failure. Decision curve analyses showed that predictive improvements translated into clinical utility for a wide range of potential decision thresholds. Taken together, our study demonstrates both the potential and limitations of NMR-derived metabolomic profiles as a multidisease assay to inform on the risk of many common diseases simultaneously.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Heart FailureFemaleHumansMagnetic Resonance SpectroscopyMetabolomics

Identifiers

PMID36138150
PMCPMC9671812
OpenAlexW4296691261

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.