Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36128333›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2022

Natural and hybrid immunity following four COVID-19 waves: A prospective cohort study of mothers in South Africa.

Heather J Zar, Rae MacGinty, Lesley Workman, Maresa Botha, Marina Johnson, Adam Hunt, Tiffany Burd, Mark P Nicol, Stefan Flasche, Billy J Quilty and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.9field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 41 citations in OpenAlex.

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  14. Predictors of reinfection with pre-Omicron and Omicron variants of concern among individuals who recovered from COVID-19 in the first year of the pandemic.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Heather J ZarDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital and SA-MRC Unit on Child & Adolescent Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Rae MacGintyDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital and SA-MRC Unit on Child & Adolescent Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Lesley WorkmanDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital and SA-MRC Unit on Child & Adolescent Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Maresa BothaDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital and SA-MRC Unit on Child & Adolescent Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Marina JohnsonGreat Ormond Street Institute of Child Health Biomedical Research Centre, University College London & Great Ormond Street Children's Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Adam HuntGreat Ormond Street Institute of Child Health Biomedical Research Centre, University College London & Great Ormond Street Children's Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Tiffany BurdDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital and SA-MRC Unit on Child & Adolescent Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Mark P NicolDivision of Infection and Immunity, School of Biomedical Sciences, University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia.
Stefan FlascheCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK.
Billy J QuiltyCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK.
David GoldblattGreat Ormond Street Institute of Child Health Biomedical Research Centre, University College London & Great Ormond Street Children's Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
University of Cape Town · ZAGreat Ormond Street Hospital for Children NHS Foundation Trust · GBLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GB

Funding

The nasopharyngeal microbiota of African children and lower respiratory tract infectionU54HG009824 · NHGRI · UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN · PI NICOL, MARK PATRICK, ZAR, HEATHER JOY · 2017 to 2021
$2.9M
The nasopharyngeal microbiome and respiratory disease in African childrenU01AI110466 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN · PI NICOL, MARK PATRICK, ZAR, HEATHER JOY · 2013 to 2016
$1.4M
Medical Research Council MR/V028782/1NHGRI NIH HHS U54 HG009824NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI110466Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: More than half the global population has been exposed to SARS-CoV-2. Naturally induced immunity influences the outcome of subsequent exposure to variants and vaccine responses. We measured anti-spike IgG responses to explore the basis for this enhanced immunity. Methods: A prospective cohort study of mothers in a South African community through ancestral/beta/delta/omicron SARS-CoV-2 waves (March 2020-February 2022). Health seeking behaviour/illness were recorded and post-wave serum samples probed for IgG to Spike (CoV2-S-IgG) by ECLISA. To estimate protective CoV2-S-IgG threshold levels, logistic functions were fit to describe the correlation of CoV2-S-IgG measured before a wave and the probability for seroconversion/boosting thereafter for unvaccinated and vaccinated adults. Findings: Despite little disease, 176/339 (51·9%) participants were seropositive following wave 1, rising to 74%, 89·8% and 97·3% after waves 2, 3 and 4 respectively. CoV2-S-IgG induced by natural exposure protected against subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection with the greatest protection for beta and least for omicron. Vaccination induced higher CoV2-S-IgG in seropositive compared to naïve vaccinees. Amongst seropositive participants, proportions above the 50% protection against infection threshold were 69% (95% CrI: 62, 72) following 1 vaccine dose, 63% (95% CrI: 63, 75) following 2 doses and only 11% (95% CrI: 7, 14) in unvaccinated during the omicron wave. Interpretation: Naturally induced CoV2-S-IgG do not achieve high enough levels to prevent omicron infection in most exposed individuals but are substantially boosted by vaccination leading to significant protection. A single vaccination in those with prior immunity is more immunogenic than 2 doses in a naïve vaccinee and may provide adequate protection. Funding: UK NIH GECO award (GEC111), Wellcome Trust Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa (CIDRI), Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, USA (OPP1017641, OPP1017579) and NIH H3 Africa (U54HG009824, U01AI110466]. HZ is supported by the SA-MRC. MPN is supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator Grant (APP1174455). BJQ is supported by a grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1139859). Stefan Flasche is supported by a Sir Henry Dale Fellowship jointly funded by the Wellcome Trust and the Royal Society (Grant number 208812/Z/17/Z).

Indexed as

AntibodiesCOVID-19Hybrid immunityProtective thresholdSARS-CoV-2VaccinationVariant

Identifiers

PMID36128333
PMCPMC9481335
OpenAlexW4296116554

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.