Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36127349›Full record

SynthesisNature communications2022

Global soil profiles indicate depth-dependent soil carbon losses under a warmer climate.

Mingming Wang, Xiaowei Guo, Shuai Zhang, Liujun Xiao, Umakant Mishra, Yuanhe Yang, Biao Zhu, Guocheng Wang, Xiali Mao, Tian Qian and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
28.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 234 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Decadal extreme drought reduces alpine subsoil carbon stocks.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  14. Long-term climate warming weakens positive plant biomass responses globally.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Mingming Wang *College of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, 310058, Hangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1094-1029
Xiaowei Guo *College of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, 310058, Hangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5765-3438
Shuai ZhangCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, 310058, Hangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0388-6989
Liujun XiaoCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, 310058, Hangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1900-1586
Umakant MishraComputational Biology & Biophysics, Sandia National Laboratories, Livermore, CA, USA.
Yuanhe YangState Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change, Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100093, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5399-4606
Biao ZhuInstitute of Ecology, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, and Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9858-7943
Guocheng WangState Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100029, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-4141-4395
Xiali MaoCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, 310058, Hangzhou, China.
Tian QianCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, 310058, Hangzhou, China.
Tong JiangCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, 310058, Hangzhou, China.
Zhou ShiCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, 310058, Hangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3914-5402
Zhongkui LuoCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, 310058, Hangzhou, China. luozk@zju.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0002-6744-6491
Zhejiang University · CNChinese Academy of Sciences · CNMinistry of Education · NZPeking University · CNSandia National Laboratories California · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Soil organic carbon (SOC) changes under future climate warming are difficult to quantify in situ. Here we apply an innovative approach combining space-for-time substitution with meta-analysis to SOC measurements in 113,013 soil profiles across the globe to estimate the effect of future climate warming on steady-state SOC stocks. We find that SOC stock will reduce by 6.0 ± 1.6% (mean±95% confidence interval), 4.8 ± 2.3% and 1.3 ± 4.0% at 0-0.3, 0.3-1 and 1-2 m soil depths, respectively, under 1 °C air warming, with additional 4.2%, 2.2% and 1.4% losses per every additional 1 °C warming, respectively. The largest proportional SOC losses occur in boreal forests. Existing SOC level is the predominant determinant of the spatial variability of SOC changes with higher percentage losses in SOC-rich soils. Our work demonstrates that warming induces more proportional SOC losses in topsoil than in subsoil, particularly from high-latitudinal SOC-rich systems.

Indexed as

CarbonSoilCarbon SequestrationClimateClimate ChangeCarbonSoil

Identifiers

PMID36127349
PMCPMC9489695
OpenAlexW4296776453

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.