Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36124421›Full record

ArticleJournal of medical virology2023

Short-term forecasts of Monkeypox cases in multiple countries: keep calm and don't panic.

Marco Mingione, Massimo Ciccozzi, Marco Falcone, Antonello Maruotti

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of medical virology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Marco MingioneDepartment of Political Sciences, University of Roma Tre, Rome, Italy.
Massimo CiccozziDepartment of Medicine, Unit of Medical Statistics and Molecular Epidemiology, University Campus Bio-Medico of Rome, Rome, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3866-9239
Marco FalconeDepartment of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Infectious Diseases Unit, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
Antonello MaruottiDepartment GEPLI, Libera Università Maria Ss Assunta, Rome, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-8377-9950

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We propose a parametric regression model for incidence indicators based on the use of the Richards' curve (a generalized logistic function) to analyse the current Monkeypox epidemic data for the most 10 affected countries worldwide. At present, results show that the outbreak is under control in most countries.

Indexed as

EpidemicsMpox, MonkeypoxDisease OutbreaksHumansbiostatistics and bioinformaticsepidemiologypoxvirusseasonal incidencestatistical inferencevirus classification

Identifiers

PMID36124421
PMCPMC10087044

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.