ArticleStatistical methods in medical research2022
Inferring risks of coronavirus transmission from community household data.
Article in Statistical methods in medical research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 31 citations in OpenAlex.
- Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 by children and young people in households and schools: A meta-analysis of population-based and contact-tracing studies.The Journal of infection · 2022Pooled it
- Urban environmental and climatic correlates of pediatric respiratory infection: microscale spatiotemporal evidence from Fuzhou, China.BMC pediatrics · 2026Article
- Random time-shift approximation enables hierarchical Bayesian inference of mechanistic within-host viral dynamics models on large datasets.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Mass Cytometry Analysis of High-Dimensional Single-Cell Immune Profiles in ZF2001-Vaccinated Patients Infected with SARS-CoV-2.Infection and drug resistance · 2025Article
- A retrospective assessment of forecasting the peak of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 wave in England.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Estimation of introduction and transmission rates of SARS-CoV-2 in a prospective household study.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Evaluating the use of social contact data to produce age-specific short-term forecasts of SARS-CoV-2 incidence in England.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- Estimation of introduction and transmission rates of SARS-CoV-2 in a prospective household study.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023Article
- Smart Thermometer-Based Participatory Surveillance to Discern the Role of Children in Household Viral Transmission During the COVID-19 Pandemic.JAMA network open · 2023Article
- Risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection in primary and secondary school students and staff in England in the 2020/2021 school year: a longitudinal study.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2023Article
- Saline nasal irrigation and gargling in COVID-19: a multidisciplinary review of effects on viral load, mucosal dynamics, and patient outcomes.Frontiers in public health · 2023Review
- Learnings from the Australian first few X household transmission project for COVID-19.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2022Article
- Simulating respiratory disease transmission within and between classrooms to assess pandemic management strategies at schools.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022Article
- A computational framework for modelling infectious disease policy based on age and household structure with applications to the COVID-19 pandemic.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- Occupational differences in SARS-CoV-2 infection: analysis of the UK ONS COVID-19 infection survey.Journal of epidemiology and community health · 2022Article
- Transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in a strictly-Orthodox Jewish community in the UK.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Possible future waves of SARS-CoV-2 infection generated by variants of concern with a range of characteristics.Nature communications · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
9 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
The response of many governments to the COVID-19 pandemic has involved measures to control within- and between-household transmission, providing motivation to improve understanding of the absolute and relative risks in these contexts. Here, we perform exploratory, residual-based, and transmission-dynamic household analysis of the Office for National Statistics COVID-19 Infection Survey data from 26 April 2020 to 15 July 2021 in England. This provides evidence for: (i) temporally varying rates of introduction of infection into households broadly following the trajectory of the overall epidemic and vaccination programme; (ii) susceptible-Infectious transmission probabilities of within-household transmission in the 15-35% range; (iii) the emergence of the Alpha and Delta variants, with the former being around 50% more infectious than wildtype and 35% less infectious than Delta within households; (iv) significantly (in the range of 25-300%) more risk of bringing infection into the household for workers in patient-facing roles pre-vaccine; (v) increased risk for secondary school-age children of bringing the infection into the household when schools are open; (vi) increased risk for primary school-age children of bringing the infection into the household when schools were open since the emergence of new variants.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.