Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36111781›Full record

ArticleeLife2022

Linking rattiness, geography and environmental degradation to spillover

Max T Eyre, Fábio N Souza, Ticiana S A Carvalho-Pereira, Nivison Nery, Daiana de Oliveira, Jaqueline S Cruz, Gielson A Sacramento, Hussein Khalil, Elsio A Wunder, Kathryn P Hacker and 8 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Gender differences in the perception of leptospirosis severity, behaviours, andmedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 7 institutions in 5 countries.

Max T EyreCentre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics, Lancaster University Medical School, Lancaster, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9847-8632
Fábio N SouzaInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3542-8918
Ticiana S A Carvalho-PereiraInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2370-2198
Nivison NeryInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Daiana de OliveiraInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Jaqueline S CruzInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Gielson A SacramentoInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Hussein KhalilInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Elsio A WunderOswaldo Cruz Foundation, Brazilian Ministry of Health, Salvador, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5239-8511
Kathryn P HackerUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United States.
José E HaganWorld Health Organization (WHO) Regional Office for Europe, Copenhagen, Denmark.
James E ChildsOswaldo Cruz Foundation, Brazilian Ministry of Health, Salvador, Brazil.
Mitermayer G ReisInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Mike BegonDepartment of Evolution, Ecology and Behaviour, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
Peter J DiggleCentre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics, Lancaster University Medical School, Lancaster, United Kingdom.
Albert I KoOswaldo Cruz Foundation, Brazilian Ministry of Health, Salvador, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9023-2339
Emanuele Giorgi *Centre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics, Lancaster University Medical School, Lancaster, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0640-181X
Federico Costa *Centre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics, Lancaster University Medical School, Lancaster, United Kingdom.
Universidade Federal da Bahia · BRYale University · USLancaster University · GBCalifornia University of Pennsylvania · USLiverpool School of Tropical Medicine · GBUniversity of Liverpool · GBWorld Health Organization Regional Office for Europe · DK

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Research Mentoring and Building Capacity of underrepresented Minority Research Scientists in India.D43TW010540 · FIC · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI MICHELE BARRY, Eva Harris · 2017 to 2026
$15.5M
Global Health Fellows and Scholars Research TrainingR25TW009338 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI BARRY, MICHELE, KO, ALBERT ICKSANG · 2012 to 2016
$5.2M
Disease Determinants of Urban LeptospirosisU01AI088752 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI KO, ALBERT ICKSANG · 2010 to 2014
$3.6M
Natural History of Urban LeptospirosisR01AI052473 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI KO, ALBERT ICKSANG · 2003 to 2013
$2.8M
Ecoepidemiology of leptospirosis in the urban slums of BrazilR01TW009504 · FIC · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI BEGON, MICHAEL, CHILDS, JAMES EMORY · 2012 to 2016
$2.2M
Rodent Population Dynamics and Leptospirosis Infection in Urban Slum EnviornmentsF31AI114245 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI HACKER, KATHRYN PATRICIA · 2014 to 2015
$55k
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW010540FIC NIH HHS R01 TW009504FIC NIH HHS R25 TW009338Medical Research Council 964635NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIAID NIH HHS F31 AI114245NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI052473NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI088752NIH HHS F31 AI114245NIH HHS R01 AI052473NIH HHS R01 TW009504NIH HHS R25 TW009338NIH HHS U01 AI088752Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 102330/Z/13/ZWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Zoonotic spillover from animal reservoirs is responsible for a significant global public health burden, but the processes that promote spillover events are poorly understood in complex urban settings. Endemic transmission of Methods: We conducted an eco-epidemiological study in a high-risk community in Salvador, Brazil, by prospectively following a cohort of 1401 residents to ascertain serological evidence for leptospiral infections. A concurrent rat ecology study was used to collect information on the fine-scale spatial distribution of 'rattiness', our proxy for rat abundance and exposure of interest. We developed and applied a novel geostatistical framework for joint spatial modelling of multiple indices of disease reservoir abundance and human infection risk. Results: The estimated infection rate was 51.4 (95%CI 40.4, 64.2) infections per 1000 follow-up events. Infection risk increased with age until 30 years of age and was associated with male gender. Rattiness was positively associated with infection risk for residents across the entire study area, but this effect was stronger in higher elevation areas (OR 3.27 95% CI 1.68, 19.07) than in lower elevation areas (OR 1.14 95% CI 1.05, 1.53). Conclusions: These findings suggest that, while frequent flooding events may disperse bacteria in regions of low elevation, environmental risk in higher elevation areas is more localised and directly driven by the distribution of local rat populations. The modelling framework developed may have broad applications in delineating complex animal-environment-human interactions during zoonotic spillover and identifying opportunities for public health intervention. Funding: This work was supported by the Oswaldo Cruz Foundation and Secretariat of Health Surveillance, Brazilian Ministry of Health, the National Institutes of Health of the United States (grant numbers F31 AI114245, R01 AI052473, U01 AI088752, R01 TW009504 and R25 TW009338); the Wellcome Trust (102330/Z/13/Z), and by the Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado da Bahia (FAPESB/JCB0020/2016). MTE was supported by a Medical Research UK doctorate studentship. FBS participated in this study under a FAPESB doctorate scholarship.

Indexed as

LeptospirosisPoverty AreasAdultAnimalsBrazilCohort StudiesEpidemiologic StudiesGeographyHumansMaleRatsZoonosesepidemiologyglobal healthhumanjoint spatial modellingleptospirosis epidemiology;multivariate model-based geostatisticsnorway rat reservoirratrodent-borne zoonoseszoonotic spillover

Identifiers

PMID36111781
PMCPMC9560157
OpenAlexW4296035495

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.