Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36109066›Full record

ArticleGlobal health, science and practice2022

Maternal and Child Health Care Service Disruptions and Recovery in Mozambique After Cyclone Idai: An Uncontrolled Interrupted Time Series Analysis.

Quinhas Fernandes, Orvalho Augusto, Sérgio Chicumbe, Laura Anselmi, Bradley H Wagenaar, Rosa Marlene, Sãozinha Agostinho, Sarah Gimbel, James Pfeiffer, Celso Inguane and 11 more

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global health, science and practice, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Quinhas FernandesNational Directorate of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Mozambique. ferq09@gmail.com.
Orvalho AugustoDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Sérgio ChicumbeInstituto Nacional de Saúde, Ministry of Health, Mozambique.
Laura AnselmiCentre for Primary Care and Health Services Research, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Bradley H WagenaarDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Rosa MarleneMozambique Permanent Mission, Geneva, Switzerland.
Sãozinha AgostinhoNational Directorate of Planning and Cooperation, Ministry of Health, Mozambique.
Sarah GimbelDepartment of Child, Family, and Population Health Nursing, School of Nursing, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
James PfeifferDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Celso InguaneDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Dorlim Moiana UetelaDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Jonny CrockerDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Isaías RamiroComité para a Saúde de Moçambique, Maputo, Mozambique.
Benigna MatsinheNational Directorate of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Mozambique.
Stélio TembeNational Directorate of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Mozambique.
Naziat CarimoDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Stephen GloydDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Ivan ManhiçaNational Directorate of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Mozambique.
Esperança TavedeProvincial Social Affairs Services, Manica, Mozambique.
Priscilla FelimoneProvincial Social Affairs Services, Sofala, Mozambique.
Kenneth SherrDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
University of Washington · USMinistry of Health · MZAmericans for Medical Progress · USEduardo Mondlane University · MZManchester Academic Health Science Centre · GB

Funding

Spreading the Integrated District Evidence-to-Action Program for Neonatal Mortality Reduction (IDEAs) in MozambiqueR01HD092449 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI FERNANDES, QUINHAS, SHERR, KENNETH · 2018 to 2022
$2.8M
Medical Research Council MR/S022554/1NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD092449
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionClimate change-related extreme weather events have increased in frequency and intensity, threatening people's health, particularly in places with weak health systems. In March 2019, Cyclone Idai devastated Mozambique's central region, causing infrastructure destruction, population displacement, and death. We assessed the impact of Idai on maternal and child health services and recovery in the Sofala and Manica provinces.

methodsUsing monthly district-level routine data from November 2016 to March 2020, we performed an uncontrolled interrupted time series analysis to assess changes in 10 maternal and child health indicators in all 25 districts before and after Idai. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical negative binomial model with district-level random intercepts and slopes to estimate Idai-related service disruptions and recovery.

resultsOf the 4.44 million people in Sofala and Manica, 1.83 (41.2%) million were affected. Buzi, Nhamatanda, and Dondo (all in Sofala province) had the highest proportion of people affected. After Idai, all 10 indicators showed an abrupt substantial decrease. First antenatal care visits per 100,000 women of reproductive age decreased by 23% (95% confidence interval [CI]=0.62, 0.96) in March and 11% (95% CI=0.75, 1.07) in April. BCG vaccinations per 1,000 children under age 5 years declined by 21% (95% CI=0.69, 0.90) and measles vaccinations decreased by 25% (95% CI=0.64, 0.87) in March and remained similar in April. Within 3 months post-cyclone, almost all districts recovered to pre-Idai levels, including Buzi, which showed a 22% and 13% relative increase in the number of first antenatal care visits and BCG, respectively.

conclusionWe found substantial health service disruptions immediately after Idai, with greater impact in the most affected districts. The findings suggest impressive recovery post-Idai, emphasizing the need to build resilient health systems to ensure quality health care during and after natural disasters.

Indexed as

Cyclonic StormsBayes TheoremBCG VaccineChildChild HealthChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInterrupted Time Series AnalysisMozambiquePregnancyBCG Vaccine

Identifiers

PMID36109066
PMCPMC9476482
OpenAlexW4296038165

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.