Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36106981›Full record

ArticleMicrobial genomics2022

Phylodynamic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 spread in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, highlights how metropolitan areas act as dispersal hubs for new variants.

Alessandra Pavan Lamarca, Luiz G P de Almeida, Ronaldo da Silva Francisco, Liliane Cavalcante, Otávio Brustolini, Alexandra L Gerber, Ana Paula de C Guimarães, Thiago Henrique de Oliveira, Érica Ramos Dos Santos Nascimento, Cintia Policarpo and 13 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Microbial genomics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Alessandra Pavan LamarcaLaboratório de Bioinformática, Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica, Petrópolis, Brazil.
Luiz G P de AlmeidaLaboratório de Bioinformática, Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica, Petrópolis, Brazil.
Ronaldo da Silva FranciscoLaboratório de Bioinformática, Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica, Petrópolis, Brazil.
Liliane CavalcanteLaboratório de Bioinformática, Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica, Petrópolis, Brazil.
Otávio BrustoliniLaboratório de Bioinformática, Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica, Petrópolis, Brazil.
Alexandra L GerberLaboratório de Bioinformática, Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica, Petrópolis, Brazil.
Ana Paula de C GuimarãesLaboratório de Bioinformática, Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica, Petrópolis, Brazil.
Thiago Henrique de OliveiraDepartamento de Genética, Instituto de Biologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Érica Ramos Dos Santos NascimentoDepartamento de Genética, Instituto de Biologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Cintia PolicarpoDepartamento de Genética, Instituto de Biologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Isabelle Vasconcellos de SouzaUnidades de Apoio ao Diagnóstico da Covid-19, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Erika Martins de CarvalhoUnidades de Apoio ao Diagnóstico da Covid-19, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Mario Sergio RibeiroSecretaria Estadual de Saúde do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Silvia CarvalhoSecretaria Estadual de Saúde do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Flávio Dias da SilvaSecretaria Municipal de Saúde Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Marcio Henrique de Oliveira GarciaSecretaria Municipal de Saúde Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Leandro Magalhães de SouzaLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública Noel Nutels, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Cristiane Gomes Da SilvaLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública Noel Nutels, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Caio Luiz Pereira RibeiroSecretaria Municipal de Saúde Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Andréa Cony CavalcantiLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública Noel Nutels, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Claudia Maria Braga de MelloSecretaria Estadual de Saúde do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Amilcar TanuriDepartamento de Genética, Instituto de Biologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Ana Tereza R de VasconcelosLaboratório de Bioinformática, Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica, Petrópolis, Brazil.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

During the first semester of 2021, all of Brazil has suffered an intense wave of COVID-19 associated with the Gamma variant. In July, the first cases of Delta variant were detected in the state of Rio de Janeiro. In this work, we have employed phylodynamic methods to analyse more than 1 600 genomic sequences of Delta variant collected until September in Rio de Janeiro to reconstruct how this variant has surpassed Gamma and dispersed throughout the state. After the introduction of Delta, it has initially spread mostly in the homonymous city of Rio de Janeiro, the most populous of the state. In a second stage, dispersal occurred to mid- and long-range cities, which acted as new close-range hubs for spread. We observed that the substitution of Gamma by Delta was possibly caused by its higher viral load, a proxy for transmissibility. This variant turnover prompted a new surge in cases, but with lower lethality than was observed during the peak caused by Gamma. We reason that high vaccination rates in the state of Rio de Janeiro were possibly what prevented a higher number of deaths.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2BrazilHumansCOVID-19deltadispersalepidemiologyphylogeographyvariant of concernviral load

Identifiers

PMID36106981
PMCPMC9676039

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.