Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36091522›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2022

Application of machine learning algorithms in predicting HIV infection among men who have sex with men: Model development and validation.

Jiajin He, Jinhua Li, Siqing Jiang, Wei Cheng, Jun Jiang, Yun Xu, Jiezhe Yang, Xin Zhou, Chengliang Chai, Chao Wu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Machine learning for personalized risk assessment of HIV, syphilis, gonorrhoea and chlamydia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2025
    Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Jiajin HeSchool of Public Health, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Jinhua LiSchool of Software Technology, Zhejiang University, Ningbo, China.
Siqing JiangSchool of Public Health, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Wei ChengZhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China.
Jun JiangZhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China.
Yun XuZhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China.
Jiezhe YangZhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China.
Xin ZhouZhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China.
Chengliang ChaiZhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China.
Chao WuSchool of Public Affairs, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Continuously growing of HIV incidence among men who have sex with men (MSM), as well as the low rate of HIV testing of MSM in China, demonstrates a need for innovative strategies to improve the implementation of HIV prevention. The use of machine learning algorithms is an increasing tendency in disease diagnosis prediction. We aimed to develop and validate machine learning models in predicting HIV infection among MSM that can identify individuals at increased risk of HIV acquisition for transmission-reduction interventions. Methods: We extracted data from MSM sentinel surveillance in Zhejiang province from 2018 to 2020. Univariate logistic regression was used to select significant variables in 2018-2019 data ( Results: A total of 6,346 MSM were included in model development data, 372 of whom were diagnosed with HIV. In feature selection, 12 variables were selected as model predicting indicators. Compared with LR, the algorithms of DT, SVM, and RF improved the classification prediction performance in SMOTE-processed data, with the AUC of 0.778, 0.856, 0.887, and 0.942, respectively. RF was the best-performing algorithm (accuracy = 0.871, precision = 0.960, recall = 0.775, F-measure = 0.858, and AUC = 0.942). And the RF model still performed well on prospective validation (AUC = 0.846). Conclusion: Machine learning models are substantially better than conventional LR model and RF should be considered in prediction tools of HIV infection in Chinese MSM. Further studies are needed to optimize and promote these algorithms and evaluate their impact on HIV prevention of MSM.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsSexual and Gender MinoritiesAlgorithmsHomosexuality, MaleHumansMachine LearningMaleHIVmachine learningmodelsMSMprediction

Identifiers

PMID36091522
PMCPMC9452878

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.