Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36090535›Full record

ArticleGenus2022

An urban-level prediction of lockdown measures impact on the prevalence of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Saeid Pourroostaei Ardakani, Tianqi Xia, Ali Cheshmehzangi, Zhiang Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Genus, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Saeid Pourroostaei ArdakaniDepartment of Computer Science, University of Nottingham, Ningbo, 315100 China.ORCID 0000-0001-8062-6617
Tianqi XiaDepartment of Computer Science, University of Nottingham, Ningbo, 315100 China.
Ali CheshmehzangiDepartment of Architecture and Built Environment, University of Nottingham, Ningbo, 315100 China.
Zhiang ZhangDepartment of Architecture and Built Environment, University of Nottingham, Ningbo, 315100 China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The world still suffers from the COVID-19 pandemic, which was identified in late 2019. The number of COVID-19 confirmed cases are increasing every day, and many governments are taking various measures and policies, such as city lockdown. It seriously treats people's lives and health conditions, and it is highly required to immediately take appropriate actions to minimise the virus spread and manage the COVID-19 outbreak. This paper aims to study the impact of the lockdown schedule on pandemic prevention and control in Ningbo, China. For this, machine learning techniques such as the K-nearest neighbours and Random Forest are used to predict the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases according to five scenarios, including no lockdown and 2 weeks, 1, 3, and 6 months postponed lockdown. According to the results, the random forest machine learning technique outperforms the K-nearest neighbours model in terms of mean squared error and R-square. The results support that taking an early lockdown measure minimises the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases in a city and addresses that late actions lead to a sharp COVID-19 outbreak.

Indexed as

COVID-19LockdownMachine learningPredictive analysis

Identifiers

PMID36090535
PMCPMC9444099

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.