A predictive model based on ground glass nodule features

Objective: The morphology of ground-glass nodule (GGN) under high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) has been suggested to indicate different histological subtypes of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD); however, existing studies only include the limited number of GGN characteristics, which lacks a systematic model for predicting invasive LUAD. This study aimed to construct a predictive model based on GGN features under HRCT for LUAD. Methods: A total of 301 surgical LUAD patients with HRCT-confirmed GGN were enrolled, and their GGN-related features were assessed by 2 individual radiologists. The pathological diagnosis of the invasive LUAD was established by pathologic examination following surgery (including 171 invasive and 130 non-invasive LUAD patients). Results: GGN features including shorter distance from pleura, larger diameter, area and mean CT attenuation, more heterogeneous uniformity of density, irregular shape, coarse margin, not defined nodule-lung interface, spiculation, pleural indentation, air bronchogram, vacuole sign, vessel changes, lobulation were observed in invasive LUAD patients compared with non-invasive LUAD patients. After adjustment by multivariate logistic regression model, GGN diameter (OR = 1.490, 95% CI, 1.326-1.674), mean CT attenuation (OR = 1.007, 95% CI, 1.004-1.011) and heterogeneous uniformity of density (OR = 3.009, 95% CI, 1.485-6.094) were independent risk factors for invasive LUAD. In addition, a predictive model integrating these three independent GGN features was established (named as invasion of lung adenocarcinoma by GGN features (ILAG)), and receiver-operating characteristic curve illustrated that the ILAG model presented good predictive value for invasive LUAD (AUC: 0.919, 95% CI, 0.889-0.949). Conclusions: ILAG predictive model integrating GGN diameter, mean CT attenuation and heterogeneous uniformity of density