Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36078400›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2022

Secular Trends of Mortality and Years of Life Lost Due to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in Wuhan, China from 2010 to 2019: Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.

Yan Guo, Jianjun Bai, Xiaoxia Zhang, Qiman Jin, Yijun Liu, Chuanhua Yu

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Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

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5citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yan GuoWuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan 430022, China.
Jianjun BaiSchool of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430071, China.
Xiaoxia ZhangWuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan 430022, China.
Qiman JinWuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan 430022, China.
Yijun LiuWuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan 430022, China.
Chuanhua YuSchool of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430071, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5467-2481

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has been an important public health issue in China. This study aimed to analyze the temporal trends in mortality and years of life lost (YLL) from COPD, and explore the effects of age, period, and cohort in Wuhan, China from 2010 to 2019.

methodsData were collected from the cause of death surveillance system in Wuhan. Age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), age-standardized YLL rate (ASYR) and the estimated annual percent changes (EAPC) were calculated to evaluate the temporal trends. The age-period-cohort (APC) model was adopted to estimate the age, period, and cohort effects.

resultsFrom 2010 to 2019, COPD accounted for 26,051.15 deaths and 394,659.58 person years YLL in Wuhan. Recently, the death burden of COPD in Wuhan has somewhat improved, especially after 2015, with declining trends in ASMR and ASYR. Additionally, the ASMR and ASYR of COPD was higher in males. And these of males showed the overall upward trends, with EAPCs of 1.06 (0.13, 2.00) and 1.21 (0.12, 2.31), respectively, while females showed downward trends since 2010. According to APC model, the age effect of COPD increased with age, and the cohort risk ratios (RRs) followed the overall downward trends. Period RRs for the Wuhan population generally tended to rise and then fall, with females showing a clear downward trend after 2015, while period RRs for males maintained an upward trend throughout the study period.

conclusionsRecently, the death burden from COPD in Wuhan has improved, especially after 2015, with improvements in ASMR, ASYR and period RRs. Sex differences still exist. COPD posed a greater threat to the elderly, especially males. Public health managers should continue to execute more targeted programs to lessen the death burden of COPD in Wuhan.

Indexed as

Pulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveAgedChinaCohort EffectCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMortalityOdds Ratioage-period-cohort modelmortalitytemporal trendsWuhanyears of life lost

Identifiers

PMID36078400
PMCPMC9518558

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.