Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36076010›Full record

ArticleNPJ digital medicine2022

Data-driven causal model discovery and personalized prediction in Alzheimer's disease.

Haoyang Zheng, Jeffrey R Petrella, P Murali Doraiswamy, Guang Lin, Wenrui Hao, Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ digital medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. ZENN: A thermodynamics-inspired computational framework for heterogeneous data-driven modeling.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Haoyang ZhengSchool of Mechanical Engineering, Purdue University, West Lafayette, 47907, IN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6835-8242
Jeffrey R PetrellaDepartment of Radiology, Duke University Health System, Durham, 27710, NC, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2596-217X
P Murali DoraiswamyDepartments of Psychiatry and Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine and Duke Institute for Brain Sciences, Durham, 27710, NC, USA.
Guang LinSchool of Mechanical Engineering, Purdue University, West Lafayette, 47907, IN, USA. guanglin@purdue.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0976-1987
Wenrui HaoDepartment of Mathematics, Penn State University, University Park, 16802, PA, USA.
Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative

Funding

A pathophysiology driven spatial dynamic modeling framework for personalized prediction and precision medicineR35GM146894 · NIGMS · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI WENRUI HAO · 2022 to 2026
$2.0M
DOE | Office of Science (SC) DE-SC0021142NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM146894NSF | Directorate for Mathematical & Physical Sciences | Division of Mathematical Sciences (DMS) DMS-1736364NSF | Directorate for Mathematical & Physical Sciences | Division of Mathematical Sciences (DMS) DMS-2052676NSF | Directorate for Mathematical & Physical Sciences | Division of Mathematical Sciences (DMS) DMS-2052685NSF | Directorate for Mathematical & Physical Sciences | Division of Mathematical Sciences (DMS) DMS-2053746NSF | Directorate for Mathematical & Physical Sciences | Division of Mathematical Sciences (DMS) DMS-2134209
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

With the explosive growth of biomarker data in Alzheimer's disease (AD) clinical trials, numerous mathematical models have been developed to characterize disease-relevant biomarker trajectories over time. While some of these models are purely empiric, others are causal, built upon various hypotheses of AD pathophysiology, a complex and incompletely understood area of research. One of the most challenging problems in computational causal modeling is using a purely data-driven approach to derive the model's parameters and the mathematical model itself, without any prior hypothesis bias. In this paper, we develop an innovative data-driven modeling approach to build and parameterize a causal model to characterize the trajectories of AD biomarkers. This approach integrates causal model learning, population parameterization, parameter sensitivity analysis, and personalized prediction. By applying this integrated approach to a large multicenter database of AD biomarkers, the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, several causal models for different AD stages are revealed. In addition, personalized models for each subject are calibrated and provide accurate predictions of future cognitive status.

Identifiers

PMID36076010
PMCPMC9458727

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.