Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36075428›Full record

ArticleThe Science of the total environment2022

Understanding the dynamic relation between wastewater SARS-CoV-2 signal and clinical metrics throughout the pandemic.

Nada Hegazy, Aaron Cowan, Patrick M D'Aoust, Élisabeth Mercier, Syeda Tasneem Towhid, Jian-Jun Jia, Shen Wan, Zhihao Zhang, Md Pervez Kabir, Wanting Fang and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Science of the total environment, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  9. Article
  10. Predicting COVID-19 Cases Across a Large University Campus Using Built Environment Surveillance.Journal of the Association of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Disease Canada = Journal officiel de l'Association pour la microbiologie medicale et l'infectiologie Canada · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
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  20. 20-Month monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater of Curitiba, in Southern Brazil.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Nada HegazyDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Aaron CowanDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Patrick M D'AoustDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Élisabeth MercierDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Syeda Tasneem TowhidDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Jian-Jun JiaDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Shen WanDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Zhihao ZhangDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Md Pervez KabirDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Wanting FangDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Tyson E GraberChildren's Hospital of Eastern Ontario Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Alex E MacKenzieChildren's Hospital of Eastern Ontario Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Stéphanie GuilhermeDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Robert DelatollaDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. Electronic address: Robert.Delatolla@uOttawa.ca.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Wastewater surveillance (WWS) of SARS-CoV-2 was proven to be a reliable and complementary tool for population-wide monitoring of COVID-19 disease incidence but was not as rigorously explored as an indicator for disease burden throughout the pandemic. Prior to global mass immunization campaigns and during the spread of the wildtype COVID-19 and the Alpha variant of concern (VOC), viral measurement of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater was a leading indicator for both COVID-19 incidence and disease burden in communities. As the two-dose vaccination rates escalated during the spread of the Delta VOC in Jul. 2021 through Dec. 2021, relations weakened between wastewater signal and community COVID-19 disease incidence and maintained a strong relationship with clinical metrics indicative of disease burden (new hospital admissions, ICU admissions, and deaths). Further, with the onset of the vaccine-resistant Omicron BA.1 VOC in Dec. 2021 through Mar. 2022, wastewater again became a strong indicator of both disease incidence and burden during a period of limited natural immunization (no recent infection), vaccine escape, and waned vaccine effectiveness. Lastly, with the populations regaining enhanced natural and vaccination immunization shortly prior to the onset of the Omicron BA.2 VOC in mid-Mar 2022, wastewater is shown to be a strong indicator for both disease incidence and burden. Hospitalization-to-wastewater ratio is further shown to be a good indicator of VOC virulence when widespread clinical testing is limited. In the future, WWS is expected to show moderate indication of incidence and strong indication of disease burden in the community during future potential seasonal vaccination campaigns.

Indexed as

COVID-19Viral VaccinesHumansPandemicsSARS-CoV-2WastewaterWastewater-Based Epidemiological MonitoringViral VaccinesWastewaterDeathsHospital admissionsLaboratory positive casesVaccinationWWS

Identifiers

PMID36075428
PMCPMC9444583

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.