Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36071423›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2022

Sex-specific patterns and lifetime risk of multimorbidity in the general population: a 23-year prospective cohort study.

Premysl Velek, Annemarie I Luik, Guy G O Brusselle, Bruno Ch Stricker, Patrick J E Bindels, Maryam Kavousi, Brenda C T Kieboom, Trudy Voortman, Rikje Ruiter, M Arfan Ikram and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  14. Association of multimorbidity trajectories from early adulthood through middle age with middle-age physical function.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2025
    Article
  15. Characterizing a heterogeneous chronic patient population for redesigning person-centred bundled payment models using risk-mitigating measures.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Premysl VelekDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands. p.velek@erasmusmc.nl.ORCID 0000-0001-8548-6211
Annemarie I LuikDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Guy G O BrusselleDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Bruno Ch StrickerDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Patrick J E BindelsDepartment of General Practice, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Maryam KavousiDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Brenda C T KieboomDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Trudy VoortmanDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Rikje RuiterDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
M Arfan IkramDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
M Kamran IkramDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Evelien I T de SchepperDepartment of General Practice, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Silvan LicherDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC - University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Erasmus MC · NLGhent University Hospital · BE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMultimorbidity poses a major challenge for care coordination. However, data on what non-communicable diseases lead to multimorbidity, and whether the lifetime risk differs between men and women are lacking. We determined sex-specific differences in multimorbidity patterns and estimated sex-specific lifetime risk of multimorbidity in the general population.

methodsWe followed 6,094 participants from the Rotterdam Study aged 45 years and older for the occurrence of ten diseases (cancer, coronary heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, depression, diabetes, dementia, asthma, heart failure, parkinsonism). We visualised participants' trajectories from a single disease to multimorbidity and the most frequent combinations of diseases. We calculated sex-specific lifetime risk of multimorbidity, considering multimorbidity involving only somatic diseases (1) affecting the same organ system, (2) affecting different organ systems, and (3) multimorbidity involving depression.

resultsOver the follow-up period (1993-2016, median years of follow-up 9.2), we observed 6334 disease events. Of the study population, 10.3% had three or more diseases, and 27.9% had two or more diseases. The most frequent pair of co-occurring diseases among men was COPD and cancer (12.5% of participants with multimorbidity), the most frequent pair of diseases among women was depression and dementia (14.9%). The lifetime risk of multimorbidity was similar among men (66.0%, 95% CI: 63.2-68.8%) and women (65.1%, 95% CI: 62.5-67.7%), yet the risk of multimorbidity with depression was higher for women (30.9%, 95% CI: 28.4-33.5%, vs. 17.5%, 95% CI: 15.2-20.1%). The risk of multimorbidity with two diseases affecting the same organ is relatively low for both sexes (4.2% (95% CI: 3.2-5.5%) for men and 4.5% (95% CI: 3.5-5.7%) for women).

conclusionsTwo thirds of people over 45 will develop multimorbidity in their remaining lifetime, with women at nearly double the risk of multimorbidity involving depression than men. These findings call for programmes of integrated care to consider sex-specific differences to ensure men and women are served equally.

Indexed as

DementiaNeoplasmsFemaleHumansMaleMultimorbidityPrevalenceProspective StudiesChronic diseasesCohort studyMultimorbidityPopulation studyRisk of multimorbiditySex differences

Identifiers

PMID36071423
PMCPMC9454172
OpenAlexW4294990973

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.