ArticleGlobal change biology2022
Climate drives the spatiotemporal dynamics of scrub typhus in China.
Article in Global change biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07124949 (Chinese Migrant Population Health Cohort), which is not on this map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Chinese Migrant Population Health Cohort
Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 38 citations in OpenAlex.
- Projected impact of climate change on human health in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review.BMJ global health · 2024Pooled it
- Global and regional seroprevalence, incidence, mortality of, and risk factors for scrub typhus: A systematic review and meta-analysis.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2024Pooled it
- Non-linear effects and lag patterns of eco-environmental factors on scrub typhus: a spatiotemporal analysis in Yunnan, China, 2015-2022.Parasites & vectors · 2026Article
- Environmental Conditions and Mite Vectors Shape the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Scrub Typhus in Guangdong Province, Mainland China.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025Article
- Influence of meteorological factors on scrub typhus in Southeast China: a study across 100 districts in Jiangxi Province.Tropical medicine and health · 2025Article
- The Effect of Climate Change on Emergence and Evolution of Zoonotic Diseases in Asia.Zoonoses and public health · 2025Review
- Associations between meteorological factors and scrub typhus incidence: a systematic review and meta-analysis of linear and nonlinear dose-response relationships.Tropical medicine and health · 2025Article
- Epidemiologic features and potential year of life lost of scrub typhus in China: A nationwide surveillance analysis (2006- 2023).PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Current and Future Projection of Scrub Typhus Risk Related to Land Use Change in China.GeoHealth · 2025Article
- Analysis of the Spatiotemporal Distribution and Evolutionary Trends of Scrub Typhus in Jiangsu Province from 2006 to 2023.Journal of epidemiology and global health · 2025Article
- Epidemiological characteristics and influencing factors of scrub typhus in Jiangxi Province.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatiotemporal Cluster Analysis of Scrub Typhus - China, 2006-2023.China CDC weekly · 2025Article
- The Association Between Environmental Factors and Scrub Typhus: A Review.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025Review
- Distribution and Host Selection of the Chigger Mite Leptotrombidium rupestre, a Potential Vector of Scrub Typhus, in Southwest China.Veterinary medicine and science · 2025Article
- Meteorological factors and normalized difference vegetation index drivers of scrub typhus incidence in Shandong Province based on a 16-year time-frequency analysis.BMC public health · 2025Article
- A longitudinal molecular surveillance of genetic heterogeneity ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2025Article
- Predicting the potential distribution areas ofFrontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Article
- Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and long-term impact of meteorological, environmental, and socio-economic factors on scrub typhus in China from 2006 to 2018.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Molecular epidemiological study of Scrub Typhus in residence, farm and forest habitats from Yunnan Province, China.PloS one · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
11 authors at 6 institutions in 5 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Scrub typhus is a climate-sensitive and life-threatening vector-borne disease that poses a growing public health threat. Although the climate-epidemic associations of many vector-borne diseases have been studied for decades, the impacts of climate on scrub typhus remain poorly understood, especially in the context of global warming. Here we incorporate Chinese national surveillance data on scrub typhus from 2010 to 2019 into a climate-driven generalized additive mixed model to explain the spatiotemporal dynamics of this disease and predict how it may be affected by climate change under various representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for three future time periods (the 2030s, 2050s, and 2080s). Our results demonstrate that temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity play key roles in driving the seasonal epidemic of scrub typhus in mainland China with a 2-month lag. Our findings show that the change of projected spatiotemporal dynamics of scrub typhus will be heterogeneous and will depend on specific combinations of regional climate conditions in future climate scenarios. Our results contribute to a better understanding of spatiotemporal dynamics of scrub typhus, which can help public health authorities refine their prevention and control measures to reduce the risks resulting from climate change.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.