Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36056046›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Earlier ice loss accelerates lake warming in the Northern Hemisphere.

Xinyu Li, Shushi Peng, Yi Xi, R Iestyn Woolway, Gang Liu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Rapid acceleration of ice-cover loss from Northern Hemisphere lakes above critical air temperature thresholds.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. The pace of shifting seasons in lakes.Nature communications · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Xinyu LiSino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Shushi PengSino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China. speng@pku.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5098-726X
Yi XiSino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2654-4615
R Iestyn WoolwaySchool of Ocean Sciences, Bangor University, Menai Bridge, Anglesey, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0498-7968
Gang LiuSino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

How lake temperatures across large geographic regions are responding to widespread alterations in ice phenology (i.e., the timing of seasonal ice formation and loss) remains unclear. Here, we analyse satellite data and global-scale simulations to investigate the contribution of long-term variations in the seasonality of lake ice to surface water temperature trends across the Northern Hemisphere. Our analysis suggests a widespread excess lake surface warming during the months of ice-off which is, on average, 1.4 times that calculated during the open-water season. This excess warming is influenced predominantly by an 8-day advancement in the average timing of ice break-up from 1979 to 2020. Until the permanent loss of lake ice in the future, excess lake warming may be further amplified due to projected future alterations in lake ice phenology. Excess lake warming will likely alter within-lake physical and biogeochemical processes with numerous implications for lake ecosystems.

Indexed as

IceLakesEcosystemSeasonsTemperatureWaterIceWater

Identifiers

PMID36056046
PMCPMC9440048

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.