Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36054536›Full record

ArticlePest management science2022

Evaluating invasion risk and population dynamics of the brown marmorated stink bug across the contiguous United States.

Javier Gutiérrez Illán, Gengping Zhu, James F Walgenbach, Angel Acebes-Doria, Arthur M Agnello, Diane G Alston, Heather Andrews, Elisabeth H Beers, J Christopher Bergh, Ricardo T Bessin and 41 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Pest management science, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

51 authors.

Javier Gutiérrez IllánDepartment of Entomology, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3815-0536
Gengping ZhuDepartment of Entomology, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA.
James F WalgenbachDepartment of Entomology and Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Mills River, NC, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9454-3943
Angel Acebes-DoriaDepartment of Entomology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.
Arthur M AgnelloDepartment of Entomology, Cornell University, Geneva, NY, USA.
Diane G AlstonDepartment of Biology, Utah State University, Logan, UT, USA.
Heather AndrewsNorth Willamette Research and Extension Center, Oregon State University, Aurora, OR, USA.
Elisabeth H BeersDepartment of Entomology, Tree Fruit Research and Extension Center, Washington State University, Wenatchee, WA, USA.
J Christopher BerghAlison H. Smith, Jr, Agricultural Research and Extension Center, Virginia Tech, Winchester, VA, USA.
Ricardo T BessinDepartment of Entomology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Brett R BlaauwDepartment of Entomology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.
G David BuntinDepartment of Entomology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.
Erik C BurknessDepartment of Entomology, University of Minnesota, St Paul, MN, USA.
John P CullumAppalachian Fruit Research Station, USDA-ARS, Kearneysville, WV, USA.
Kent M DaaneDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Lauren E FannDepartment of Entomology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Joanna FisherDepartment of Entomology and Nematology, University of California, Davis, CA, USA.
Pierre GirodDepartment of Entomology, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA.
Larry J GutDepartment of Entomology, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA.
George C HamiltonDepartment of Entomology, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA.
James R HeplerDepartment of Entomology, Tree Fruit Research and Extension Center, Washington State University, Wenatchee, WA, USA.
Richard HiltonSouthern Oregon Research and Extension Center, Oregon State University, Central Point, OR, USA.
Kim A HoelmerBeneficial Insects Introduction Research Unit, USDA-ARS, Newark, DE, USA.
William D HutchisonDepartment of Entomology, University of Minnesota, St Paul, MN, USA.
Peter J JentschHudson Valley Research Lab, Cornell University, Highland, NY, USA.
Shimat V JosephDepartment of Entomology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3686-0024
George G KennedyDepartment of Entomology and Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, USA.
Grzegorz KrawczykDepartment of Entomology, Pennsylvania State University, Biglerville, PA, USA.
Thomas P KuharDepartment of Entomology, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, USA.
Jana C LeeHorticultural Crops Research, USDA-ARS, Corvallis, OR, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6482-0065
Tracy C LeskeyAppalachian Fruit Research Station, USDA-ARS, Kearneysville, WV, USA.
Adrian T MarshalDepartment of Entomology, Tree Fruit Research and Extension Center, Washington State University, Wenatchee, WA, USA.
Joshua M MilnesDepartment of Entomology, Tree Fruit Research and Extension Center, Washington State University, Wenatchee, WA, USA.
Anne L NielsenDepartment of Entomology, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA.
Dilani K PatelDepartment of Entomology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.
Hillary D PetersonDepartment of Entomology, Pennsylvania State University, Biglerville, PA, USA.
Dominic D ReisigDepartment of Entomology and Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Plymouth, NC, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9979-5813
Jhalendra P RijalAgriculture and Natural Resources and Statewide IPM Program, University of California, Davis, CA, USA.
Ashfaq A SialDepartment of Entomology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5471-1818
Lori R SpearsDepartment of Biology, Utah State University, Logan, UT, USA.
Judith M StahlDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Kathy M TatmanBeneficial Insects Introduction Research Unit, USDA-ARS, Newark, DE, USA.
Sally V TaylorTidewater Agricultural Research and Extension Center, Virginia Tech University, Suffolk, VA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2970-0687
Glynn TillmanSoutheast Watershed Research, USDA-ARS, Tifton, GA, USA.
Michael D ToewsDepartment of Entomology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.
Raul T VillanuevaDepartment of Entomology, University of Kentucky, Princeton, KY, USA.
Celeste WeltyDepartment of Entomology, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA.
Nik G WimanNorth Willamette Research and Extension Center, Oregon State University, Aurora, OR, USA.
Julianna K WilsonDepartment of Entomology, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA.
Frank G ZalomDepartment of Entomology and Nematology, University of California, Davis, CA, USA.
David W CrowderDepartment of Entomology, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA.

Funding

USDAUSDA-NIFA-SCRI grant no. 2016-51181-25409
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInvasive species threaten the productivity and stability of natural and managed ecosystems. Predicting the spread of invaders, which can aid in early mitigation efforts, is a major challenge, especially in the face of climate change. While ecological niche models are effective tools to assess habitat suitability for invaders, such models have rarely been created for invasive pest species with rapidly expanding ranges. Here, we leveraged a national monitoring effort from 543 sites over 3 years to assess factors mediating the occurrence and abundance of brown marmorated stink bug (BMSB, Halyomorpha halys), an invasive insect pest that has readily established throughout much of the United States.

resultsWe used maximum entropy models to estimate the suitable habitat of BMSB under several climate scenarios, and generalized boosted models to assess environmental factors that regulated BMSB abundance. Our models captured BMSB distribution and abundance with high accuracy, and predicted a 70% increase in suitable habitat under future climate scenarios. However, environmental factors that mediated the geographical distribution of BMSB were different from those driving abundance. While BMSB occurrence was most affected by winter precipitation and proximity to populated areas, BMSB abundance was influenced most strongly by evapotranspiration and solar photoperiod.

conclusionOur results suggest that linking models of establishment (occurrence) and population dynamics (abundance) offers a more effective way to forecast the spread and impact of BMSB and other invasive species than simply occurrence-based models, allowing for targeted mitigation efforts. Implications of distribution shifts under climate change are discussed. © 2022 The Authors. Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.

Indexed as

EcosystemHeteropteraAnimalsClimate ChangeIntroduced SpeciesPopulation DynamicsUnited Statesclimate changedistribution changeecological niche modelsinvasive speciesspecies distribution models

Identifiers

PMID36054536
PMCPMC9804287

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.