Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36054068›Full record

ArticleRespirology (Carlton, Vic.)2023

Global, regional and national burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease over a 30-year period: Estimates from the 1990 to 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study.

Hao-Yang Li, Teng-Yu Gao, Wei Fang, Chen-Yang Xian-Yu, Nian-Jia Deng, Chao Zhang, Yu-Ming Niu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Respirology (Carlton, Vic.), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Hao-Yang LiCenter for Evidence-Based Medicine and Clinical Research, Taihe Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, China.
Teng-Yu GaoCenter for Evidence-Based Medicine and Clinical Research, Taihe Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, China.
Wei FangCenter for Evidence-Based Medicine and Clinical Research, Taihe Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, China.
Chen-Yang Xian-YuCenter for Evidence-Based Medicine and Clinical Research, Taihe Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, China.
Nian-Jia DengCenter for Evidence-Based Medicine and Clinical Research, Taihe Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, China.
Chao ZhangCenter for Evidence-Based Medicine and Clinical Research, Taihe Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9891-0605
Yu-Ming NiuDepartment of Stomatology & Center for Evidence-Based Medicine and Clinical Research, Gongli Hospital of Shanghai Pudong New Area, Shanghai, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectiveChronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the most prevalent chronic respiratory disease. This study investigated the global, regional and country burden of COPD based on gender, age and socio-demographic indices (SDIs) in the last 30-year period from 1990 to 2019.

methodsThe COPD data, including incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), were obtained from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study. If age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) or death rate (ASDR) remains almost constant or decreases, the number of cases will still increase as the global population increases substantially. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was calculated to assess incidence, mortality and DALY trends.

resultsThe incidence of COPD increased by 85.89% from 8,722,966 cases in 1990 to 16,214,828 cases in 2019, and the ASIR decreased from 216.48/100,000 persons in 1990 (95%UI, 204.56-227.33) to 200.49 per 100,000 persons (95%UI, 188.63-212.57) in 2019. The ASIR increased (EAPC = 0.05, 95%CI, 0.01-0.10) in the low SDI region, was stable in the high SDI region, and fell in the other three SDI regions. Men had a higher ASIR than women over the past 30 years, and there were differences in the incidence rates for different age groups. Male mortality and DALYs were higher than female mortality. ASDR decreased by 2.13% (95%CI, -2.23% to -2.02%) per year and the annual age-standardized DALY rate decreased by 1.97% (95%CI, -2.05% to -1.89%).

conclusionsThe ASIR, ASDR and age-standardized DALY rate of COPD declined overall in the last 30 years, and were highest in the low-middle SDI region.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseasePulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveAdultFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleQuality-Adjusted Life Yearschronic obstructive pulmonary diseasedisability adjusted life-yearsglobal burden of diseaseincidencemortality

Identifiers

PMID36054068
PMCPMC10087739

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.