Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36053603›Full record

ArticleBMJ paediatrics open2022

Attrition and associated factors among children living with HIV at a tertiary hospital in Eritrea: a retrospective cohort analysis.

Samuel Tekle Mengistu, Ghirmay Ghebrekidan Ghebremeskel, Aron Rezene, Mahmud Mohammed Idris, Tsegereda Gebrehiwot Tikue, Mohammed Elfatih Hamida, Oliver Okoth Achila

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ paediatrics open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Samuel Tekle MengistuGeneral Medicine, Nakfa Hospital, Ministry of Health Northern Red Sea Branch, Nakfa, Eritrea teklesam7@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-2817-1421
Ghirmay Ghebrekidan GhebremeskelGeneral Medicine, Nakfa Hospital, Ministry of Health Northern Red Sea Branch, Nakfa, Eritrea.ORCID 0000-0002-0275-2279
Aron RezeneMaternity Health, Edaga Hamus Hospital, Ministry of Health Maekel Branch, Asmara, Eritrea.
Mahmud Mohammed IdrisDepartment of Pediatrics and Child Health, Orotta College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Asmara, Eritrea.
Tsegereda Gebrehiwot TikueDepartment of Pediatrics and Child Health, Orotta College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Asmara, Eritrea.
Mohammed Elfatih HamidaUnit of Medical Microbiology, Orotta College of Medicine and Health Sciences (OCMHS), Asmara, Eritrea.ORCID 0000-0002-5337-399X
Oliver Okoth AchilaUnit of Clinical Laboratory Science, Orotta College of Medicine and Health Sciences (OCMHS), Asmara, Eritrea.ORCID 0000-0001-8013-0785

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundReducing attrition in paediatric HIV-positive patients using combined antiretroviral therapy (cART) programmes in sub-Saharan Africa is a challenge. This study explored the rates and predictors of attrition in children started on cART in Asmara, Eritrea.

methodsThis was a retrospective cohort study using data from all paediatric patients on cART between 2005 and 2020, conducted at the Orotta National Referral and Teaching Hospital. Kaplan-Meier estimates of the likelihood of attrition and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the factors associated with attrition. All p values were two sided and p<0.05 was considered statistically significant.

resultsThe study enrolled 710 participants with 374 boys (52.7%) and 336 girls (47.3%). After 5364 person-years' (PY) follow-up, attrition occurred in 172 (24.2%) patients: 65 (9.2%) died and 107 (15.1%) were lost to follow-up (LTFU). The crude incidence rate of attrition was 3.2 events/100 PY, mortality rate was 2.7/100 PY and LTFU was 1.2/100 PY. The independent predictors of attrition included male sex (adjusted HR (AHR)=1.6, 95% CI: 1 to 2.4), residence outside Zoba Maekel (AHR=1.5, 95% CI: 1 to 2.3), later enrolment years (2010-2015: AHR=3.2, 95% CI: 1.9 to 5.3; >2015: AHR=6.1, 95% CI: 3 to 12.2), WHO body mass index-for-age z-score <-2 (AHR=1.4, 95% CI: 0.9 to 2.1), advanced HIV disease (WHO III or IV) at enrolment (AHR=2.2, 95% CI: 1.2 to 3.9), and initiation of zidovudine+lamivudine or other cART backbones (unadjusted HR (UHR)=2, 95% CI: 1.2 to 3.2). In contrast, a reduced likelihood of attrition was observed in children with a record of cART changes (UHR=0.2, 95% CI: 0.15 to 0.4).

conclusionA low incidence of attrition was observed in this study. However, the high mortality rate in the first 24 months of treatment and late presentation are concerning. Therefore, data-driven interventions for improving programme quality and outcomes should be prioritised.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsHIV InfectionsChildCohort StudiesEritreaFemaleHumansMaleRetrospective StudiesTertiary Care CentersAnti-HIV AgentsEpidemiologyHIVMortalityVirology

Identifiers

PMID36053603
PMCPMC9252199

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.