Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36051948›Full record

ArticleSIAM journal on applied dynamical systems2020

Bayesian Evidence Accumulation on Social Networks.

Bhargav Karamched, Simon Stolarczyk, Zachary P Kilpatrick, Krešimir Josić

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in SIAM journal on applied dynamical systems, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. A Cognitive Computational Approach to Social and Collective Decision-Making.Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Bhargav KaramchedDepartment of Mathematics, University of Houston, Houston, TX 77204.
Simon StolarczykDepartment of Mathematics, University of Houston, Houston, TX 77204.
Zachary P KilpatrickDepartment of Applied Mathematics, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309.
Krešimir JosićDepartment of Mathematics, Department of Biology and Biochemistry, University of Houston, Houston, TX 77204, and Department of BioSciences, Rice University, Houston, TX 77005.

Funding

CRCNS: Decision Making in Changing EnvironmentsR01MH115557 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI GOLD, JOSHUA I, JOSIC, KRESIMIR · 2017 to 2020
$1.6M
Connecting neural circuit architecture and experience-driven probabilistic computationsR01EB029847 · NIBIB · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · PI KILPATRICK, ZACHARY PETER · 2020 to 2020
$772k
NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB029847NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH115557
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To make decisions we are guided by the evidence we collect and the opinions of friends and neighbors. How do we combine our private beliefs with information we obtain from our social network? To understand the strategies humans use to do so, it is useful to compare them to observers that optimally integrate all evidence. Here we derive network models of rational (Bayes optimal) agents who accumulate private measurements and observe the decisions of their neighbors to make an irreversible choice between two options. The resulting information exchange dynamics has interesting properties: When decision thresholds are asymmetric, the absence of a decision can be increasingly informative over time. In a recurrent network of two agents, the absence of a decision can lead to a sequence of belief updates akin to those in the literature on common knowledge. On the other hand, in larger networks a single decision can trigger a cascade of agreements and disagreements that depend on the private information agents have gathered. Our approach provides a bridge between social decision making models in the economics literature, which largely ignore the temporal dynamics of decisions, and the single-observer evidence accumulator models used widely in neuroscience and psychology.

Indexed as

62C1091D30decision makingfirst passage time problemsprobabilistic inferencesocial networksstochastic dynamics

Identifiers

PMID36051948
PMCPMC9432802

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.