Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36046041›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in oncology2022

Trends in incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer in China 1990-2019: A joinpoint and age-period-cohort analysis.

Fajun Li, Haifeng Li, Xin Su, Hongsen Liang, Li Wei, Donglei Shi, Junhang Zhang, Zhaojun Wang

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Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

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8citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Fajun LiDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The First People's Hospital of Kunshan, Kunshan, China.
Haifeng LiDepartment of Anesthesiology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Xin SuDepartment of Respiratory, Hainan Hospital of PLA General Hospital, Sanya, China.
Hongsen LiangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, China.
Li WeiDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, China.
Donglei ShiDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, China.
Junhang ZhangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, China.
Zhaojun WangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The incidence and mortality trends of esophageal cancer (EC) remain unknown in China. This study aimed to describe the trend in incidence and mortality of EC in China. Methods: We extracted age-standardized rates and numbers of EC in China for 1990-2019 from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) were calculated to describe the trends, while the annual percentage of change and the average annual percent change (AAPC) were analyzed by the joinpoint regression analysis. The incidence and mortality data were analyzed Results: The ASIR and ASMR decreased slightly before 1999, then increased from 1999 to 2004, and decreased again thereafter, with overall AAPC values of -2.5 (-2.8, -2.1) for females and -0.9 (-1.1, -0.8) for males regarding incidence, with overall AAPC values of -3.1 (-3.3, -2.9) for females and -1.2 (-1.3, -1.1) for males regarding mortality. As a whole, the relative risk (RR) of EC increased with age in both females and males regarding incidence and mortality, except for the 80-84-year-old age group in females and the 85-89-year-old age group in males regarding incidence, where they began to decrease. The RR of EC increased with age in females and males regarding mortality, except for the 85-89-year-old age group in males. The time period showed a trend of first rising and then decreasing, and the RR of time period effect was lower in 2015 than that in 1990 in females regarding both incidence and mortality, whereas males showed a significant upward trend in both incidence and mortality. The birth cohort effect showed an overall downward trend. Conclusions: The overall incidence and mortality of EC in China shows an increased and then decreased trend from 1990 to 2019. The AAPC decreased in incidence and mortality from 1990 to 2019. The RR of incidence and mortality of EC in China is greatly affected by age in both sexes, by time period in male, we should be paid more attention to.

Indexed as

age-period-cohort modelesophageal cancerincidence trendjoinpoint analysismortality trend

Identifiers

PMID36046041
PMCPMC9420985

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