Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36044371›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2021

Performance of universal early warning scores in different patient subgroups and clinical settings: a systematic review.

Baneen Alhmoud, Timothy Bonnici, Riyaz Patel, Daniel Melley, Bryan Williams, Amitava Banerjee

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. [Modified Delphi study about implementation of early warning scores].Medizinische Klinik, Intensivmedizin und Notfallmedizin · 2025
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  9. [Early warning scores: a rapid umbrella review].Medizinische Klinik, Intensivmedizin und Notfallmedizin · 2025
    Review
  10. Observational
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  12. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Baneen AlhmoudInstitute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK.
Timothy BonniciInstitute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK.
Riyaz PatelUniversity College London Hospitals NHS Trust, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4603-2393
Daniel MelleyBarts Health NHS Trust, London, UK.
Bryan WilliamsUniversity College London Hospitals NHS Trust, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8094-1841
Amitava BanerjeeInstitute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK ami.banerjee@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-8741-3411

Funding

British Heart Foundation FS/14/76/30933
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess predictive performance of universal early warning scores (EWS) in disease subgroups and clinical settings.

designSystematic review. DATA SOURCES: Medline, CINAHL, Embase and Cochrane database of systematic reviews from 1997 to 2019. INCLUSION CRITERIA: Randomised trials and observational studies of internal or external validation of EWS to predict deterioration (mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) transfer and cardiac arrest) in disease subgroups or clinical settings.

resultsWe identified 770 studies, of which 103 were included. Study designs and methods were inconsistent, with significant risk of bias (high: n=16 and unclear: n=64 and low risk: n=28). There were only two randomised trials. There was a high degree of heterogeneity in all subgroups and in national early warning score (I

conclusionMethodology and quality of validation studies of EWS are insufficient to recommend their use in all diseases and all clinical settings despite good performance of EWS in some subgroups. There is urgent need for consistency in methods and study design, following consensus guidelines for predictive risk scores. Further research should consider specific diseases and settings, using electronic health record data, prior to large-scale implementation. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: PROSPERO CRD42019143141.

Indexed as

Early Warning ScoreHeart ArrestHumansIntensive Care UnitsRespiratory Rateadult intensive & critical careclinical governanceepidemiologyrisk management

Identifiers

PMID36044371
PMCPMC8039269

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.