Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36043280›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2022

Within-population variability in coral heat tolerance indicates climate adaptation potential.

Adriana Humanes, Liam Lachs, Elizabeth A Beauchamp, John C Bythell, Alasdair J Edwards, Yimnang Golbuu, Helios M Martinez, Paweł Palmowski, Achim Treumann, Eveline van der Steeg and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
11.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 76 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Adriana HumanesSchool of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7962-2635
Liam LachsSchool of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3712-6144
Elizabeth A BeauchampSchool of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
John C BythellSchool of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2416-9786
Alasdair J EdwardsSchool of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2979-7389
Yimnang GolbuuPalau International Coral Reef Center, Koror, Palau.ORCID 0000-0001-8621-7742
Helios M MartinezSchool of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Paweł PalmowskiSchool of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9163-9560
Achim TreumannSchool of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9417-3505
Eveline van der SteegSchool of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9768-7472
Ruben van HooidonkCooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL 33149, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3804-1233
James R GuestSchool of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9714-9009
Newcastle University · GBNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration · USPalau International Coral Reef Center · PW

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Coral reefs are facing unprecedented mass bleaching and mortality events due to marine heatwaves and climate change. To avoid extirpation, corals must adapt. Individual variation in heat tolerance and its heritability underpin the potential for coral adaptation. However, the magnitude of heat tolerance variability within coral populations is largely unresolved. We address this knowledge gap by exposing corals from a single reef to an experimental marine heatwave. We found that double the heat stress dosage was required to induce bleaching in the most-tolerant 10%, compared to the least-tolerant 10% of the population. By the end of the heat stress exposure, all of the least-tolerant corals were dead, whereas the most-tolerant remained alive. To contextualize the scale of this result over the coming century, we show that under an ambitious future emissions scenario, such differences in coral heat tolerance thresholds equate to up to 17 years delay until the onset of annual bleaching and mortality conditions. However, this delay is limited to only 10 years under a high emissions scenario. Our results show substantial variability in coral heat tolerance which suggests scope for natural or assisted evolution to limit the impacts of climate change in the short-term. For coral reefs to persist through the coming century, coral adaptation must keep pace with ocean warming, and ambitious emissions reductions must be realized.

Indexed as

AnthozoaThermotoleranceAcclimatizationAnimalsClimate ChangeCoral Reefsclimate changecoral bleachingheat tolerancephenotypic response

Identifiers

PMID36043280
PMCPMC9428547
OpenAlexW4293727925

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.