Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36034169›Full record

ArticleEconomic modelling2022

Gaps between official and excess Covid-19 mortality measures: The effects of institutional quality and vaccinations.

Joshua Aizenman, Alex Cukierman, Yothin Jinjarak, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Economic modelling, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. COVID and Gender: A Narrative Review of the Asia-Pacific Region.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Joshua AizenmanEconomics and POIR, University of Southern California and NBER, Los Angeles, CA, 90089-0043, USA.
Alex CukiermanTel-Aviv University School of Economics, Tel-Aviv, 69978, Israel.
Yothin JinjarakERCD and Asian Development Bank, 1550 Metro Manila, Mandaluyong City, Philippines.
Sameer Nair-DesaiStanford Institute for Economic and Policy Research and Meridian Collective, Palo Alto, CA, 94305, USA.
Weining XinInternational Monetary Fund, 700 19th St NW, Washington, DC, 20431, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We evaluate quartile rankings of countries during the Covid-19 pandemic using both official (confirmed) and excess mortality data. By December 2021, the quartile rankings of three-fifths of the countries differ when ranked by excess vs. official mortality. Countries that are 'doing substantially better' in the excess mortality are characterized by higher urban population shares; higher GDP/Capita; and higher scores on institutional and policy variables. We perform two regressions in which the ratio of Cumulative Excess to Official Covid-19 mortalities (E/O ratio) is regressed on covariates. In a narrow study, controlling for GDP/Capita and vaccination rates, by December 2021 the E/O ratio was smaller in countries with higher vaccination rates. In a broad study, adding institutional and policy variables, the E/O ratio was smaller in countries with higher degree of voice and accountability. The arrival of vaccines in 2021 and voice and accountability had a discernible association on the E/O ratio.

Indexed as

Excess mortalityOfficial mortalityVaccinesVoice and accountability

Identifiers

PMID36034169
PMCPMC9396456

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.