Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36028464›Full record

ArticleEcology letters2022

Ecological lags govern the pace and outcome of plant community responses to 21st-century climate change.

Sebastián Block, Marc-Jacques Maechler, Jacob I Levine, Jake M Alexander, Loïc Pellissier, Jonathan M Levine

Open access · hybridAbstract readLetter
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology letters, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Sebastián BlockInstitute of Integrative Biology, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4208-6653
Marc-Jacques MaechlerInstitute of Integrative Biology, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Jacob I LevineDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7645-2500
Jake M AlexanderInstitute of Integrative Biology, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Loïc PellissierDepartment of Environmental System Science, Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Jonathan M LevineDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2857-7904
Princeton University · USETH Zurich · CHSwiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research · CH

Funding

Swiss National Science Foundation
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Forecasting the trajectories of species assemblages in response to ongoing climate change requires quantifying the time lags in the demographic and ecological processes through which climate impacts species' abundances. Since experimental climate manipulations are typically abrupt, the observed species responses may not match their responses to gradual climate change. We addressed this problem by transplanting alpine grassland turfs to lower elevations, recording species' demographic responses to climate and competition, and using these data to parameterise community dynamics models forced by scenarios of gradual climate change. We found that shifts in community structure following an abrupt climate manipulation were not simply accelerated versions of shifts expected under gradual warming, as the former missed the transient rise of species benefiting from moderate warming. Time lags in demography and species interactions controlled the pace and trajectory of changing species' abundances under simulated 21st-century climate change, and thereby prevented immediate diversity loss.

Indexed as

Climate ChangePlantsalpine plantscompetitiondemographydisequilibrium dynamicsthermophilisationtime lagstransient dynamicstransplant experiment

Identifiers

PMID36028464
PMCPMC9804264
OpenAlexW4293468125

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.