Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36016208›Full record

ArticleVaccines2022

Estimates of the Global Burden of COVID-19 and the Value of Broad and Equitable Access to COVID-19 Vaccines.

Eleanor Bell, Simon Brassel, Edward Oliver, Hannah Schirrmacher, Sofie Arnetorp, Katja Berg, Duncan Darroch-Thompson, Paula Pohja-Hutchison, Bruce Mungall, Stuart Carroll and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vaccines, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 7 institutions in 6 countries.

Eleanor BellOffice of Health Economics, London SW1E 6QT, UK.
Simon BrasselOffice of Health Economics, London SW1E 6QT, UK.
Edward OliverOffice of Health Economics, London SW1E 6QT, UK.
Hannah SchirrmacherOffice of Health Economics, London SW1E 6QT, UK.
Sofie ArnetorpHealth Economics & Payer Evidence, BioPharmaceuticals Medical, AstraZeneca, 431 50 Gothenburg, Sweden.
Katja BergAccess Policy & Strategy, BioPharmaceuticals Business, AstraZeneca, Sydney, NSW 2113, Australia.
Duncan Darroch-ThompsonInternational Market Access, Vaccines and Immune Therapies, BioPharmaceuticals Business, AstraZeneca, Shanghai 201203, China.
Paula Pohja-HutchisonGlobal Policy, BioPharmaceuticals Business, AstraZeneca, Cambridge CB2 0AA, UK.
Bruce MungallAsia Area Medical Director, Vaccines and Immune Therapies, BioPharmaceuticals Business, AstraZeneca, Singapore 038986, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-6772-1633
Stuart CarrollOffice of Health Economics, London SW1E 6QT, UK.
Maarten PostmaDepartment of Pharmacy, Unit of PharmacoEpidemiology & PharmacoEconomics, University of Groningen, 9712 CP Groningen, The Netherlands.
Lotte SteutenOffice of Health Economics, London SW1E 6QT, UK.
Office Of Health Economics · GBAstraZeneca (Australia) · AUAstraZeneca (Singapore) · SGAstraZeneca (Sweden) · SEAstraZeneca (United Kingdom) · GBShanghai Innovative Research Center of Traditional Chinese Medicine · CNUniversity of Groningen · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The objectives of this research were to produce a macro-level overview of the global COVID-19 burden and estimate the value of access to COVID-19 vaccines. A targeted literature review collated evidence of the burden. Linear modelling and data analysis estimated the health and economic effects of COVID-19 vaccines delivered in 2021, and whether additional value could have been achieved with broader and more equitable access. By 1 December 2020, there had been an estimated 17 million excess deaths due to COVID-19. Low-income countries allocated more than 30% of their healthcare budgets to COVID-19, compared to 8% in high-income countries. All country income groups experienced gross domestic product (GDP) growth lower than predicted in 2020. If all 92 countries eligible for COVAX Advance Market Committee (AMC), access had reached 40% vaccination coverage in 2021, 120% more excess deaths would have been averted, equivalent to USD 5 billion (10

Indexed as

accessburdenCOVID-19vaccinesvalue

Identifiers

PMID36016208
PMCPMC9414589
OpenAlexW4292059953

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.