Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36008683›Full record

ArticleNature human behaviour2022

Strategic COVID-19 vaccine distribution can simultaneously elevate social utility and equity.

Lin Chen, Fengli Xu, Zhenyu Han, Kun Tang, Pan Hui, James Evans, Yong Li

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature human behaviour, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.8field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 36 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Closing the Gap in Race-based Inequities for Seasonal Influenza Hospitalizations: A Modeling Study.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
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  16. Retrospective Analysis of Equity-Based Optimization for COVID-19 Vaccine Allocation.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Lin Chen *Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong SAR, P. R. China.ORCID 0000-0002-2605-749X
Fengli Xu *Knowledge Lab & Department of Sociology, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA. fenglixu@uchicago.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-5720-4026
Zhenyu HanBeijing National Research Center for Information Science and Technology (BNRist), Department of Electronic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, P. R. China.ORCID 0000-0001-9634-7962
Kun TangVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, P. R. China.
Pan HuiDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong SAR, P. R. China. panhui@ust.hk.ORCID 0000-0001-6026-1083
James EvansKnowledge Lab & Department of Sociology, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA. jevans@uchicago.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-9838-0707
Yong LiBeijing National Research Center for Information Science and Technology (BNRist), Department of Electronic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, P. R. China. liyong07@tsinghua.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0001-5617-1659
Tsinghua University · CNHong Kong University of Science and Technology · HKSanta Fe Institute · USUniversity of Chicago · USUniversity of Helsinki · FIVanke (China) · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Balancing social utility and equity in distributing limited vaccines is a critical policy concern for protecting against the prolonged COVID-19 pandemic and future health emergencies. What is the nature of the trade-off between maximizing collective welfare and minimizing disparities between more and less privileged communities? To evaluate vaccination strategies, we propose an epidemic model that explicitly accounts for both demographic and mobility differences among communities and their associations with heterogeneous COVID-19 risks, then calibrate it with large-scale data. Using this model, we find that social utility and equity can be simultaneously improved when vaccine access is prioritized for the most disadvantaged communities, which holds even when such communities manifest considerable vaccine reluctance. Nevertheless, equity among distinct demographic features may conflict; for example, low-income neighbourhoods might have fewer elder citizens. We design two behaviour-and-demography-aware indices, community risk and societal risk, which capture the risks communities face and those they impose on society from not being vaccinated, to inform the design of comprehensive vaccine distribution strategies. Our study provides a framework for uniting utility and equity-based considerations in vaccine distribution and sheds light on how to balance multiple ethical values in complex settings for epidemic control.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesAgedHumansOrganizationsPandemicsVaccinationCOVID-19 Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID36008683
OpenAlexW3214699261

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.