Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36008595›Full record

ArticlePediatric research2023

Prediction of thiopurine failure in pediatric Crohn's disease: pediatric IBD Porto group of ESPGHAN.

Tereza Lerchova, Ondrej Hradsky, Michal Kulich, Gabor Veres, Jorge Amil Dias, Małgorzata Sładek, Sanja Kolacek, Stephanie Van Biervliet, Jan Melek, Daniela E Serban and 6 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Pediatric research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 11 institutions in 10 countries.

Tereza Lerchova *Department of Pediatrics, 2nd Faculty of Medicine, Charles University and Motol University Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic. terezadrskova@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2260-2347
Ondrej Hradsky *Department of Pediatrics, 2nd Faculty of Medicine, Charles University and Motol University Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic.
Michal KulichDepartment of Probability and Mathematical Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.
Gabor VeresPediatric Institute-Clinic, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary.
Jorge Amil DiasHospital S. Joao do Porto, Porto, Portugal.
Małgorzata SładekPolish-American Children's Hospital, Jagiellonian University, Cracow, Poland.
Sanja KolacekChildren's Hospital Zagreb Faculty of Medicine, Zagreb, Croatia.
Stephanie Van BiervlietGhent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium.
Jan MelekDepartment of Pediatrics, University Hospital, Charles University, Hradec Kralove, Czech Republic.
Daniela E Serban2nd Clinic of Pediatrics, "Iuliu Hatieganu" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Emergency Clinical Hospital for Children, Cluj-Napoca, Romania.
Katrine WintherHvidovre Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Tim de MeijAmsterdam UMC, location VUMC, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Jan SchwarzDepartment of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine in Pilsen, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.
Kaija-Leena KolhoChildren's Hospital, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Johanna C EscherErasmus MC Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Jiri BronskyDepartment of Pediatrics, 2nd Faculty of Medicine, Charles University and Motol University Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic.
Charles University · CZAmsterdam University Medical Centers · NLChildren's Hospital Zagreb · HRErasmus MC - Sophia Children’s Hospital · NLGhent University Hospital · BEHospital de São João · PTHvidovre Hospital · DKIuliu Hațieganu University of Medicine and Pharmacy · ROJagiellonian University · PLUniversity of Debrecen · HUUniversity of Helsinki · FI

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMaintaining of remission early in the disease course of Crohn's disease (CD) is essential and has major impact on the future prognosis. This study aimed to identify baseline predictors to develop model allowing stratification of patients who will not benefit from long-term azathioprine (AZA) treatment and will require more intensive therapy.

methodsThis study was designed to develop clinical prediction rule using retrospective data analysis of pediatric CD patients included in prospective inception cohort. Clinical relapse was defined as necessity of re-induction of remission. Sequence of Cox models was fitted to predict risk of relapse.

resultsOut of 1190 CD patients from 13 European centers, 441 were included, 50.3% patients did not experience clinical relapse within 2 years of AZA treatment initiation. Median time to relapse was 2.11 (CI 1.59-2.46) years. Of all the tested parameters available at diagnosis, six were significant in multivariate analyses: C-reactive protein (p = 0.038), body mass index Z-score >0.8 SD (p = 0.002), abnormal sigmoid imaging (p = 0.039), abnormal esophageal endoscopy (p = 0.005), ileocolonic localization (p = 0.023), AZA dose in specific age category (p = 0.031).

conclusionsAlthough the possibility of predicting relapse on AZA treatment appears limited, we developed predictive model based on six baseline parameters potentially helpful in clinical decision. IMPACT: The possibility of predicting relapse on AZA treatment appears to be possible but limited. We identified six independent predictors available at diagnosis of early AZA/6-MP treatment failure in pediatric CD patients. Using combination of these factors, a model applicable to clinical practice was created. A web-based tool, allowing estimation of individual relapse risk in pediatric CD patients on a particular therapeutic regimen, has been developed.

Indexed as

Crohn DiseaseAzathioprineChildHumansImmunosuppressive AgentsProspective StudiesRecurrenceRemission InductionRetrospective StudiesAzathioprineImmunosuppressive Agents

Identifiers

PMID36008595
OpenAlexW4293101948

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.