Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36007589›Full record

ArticleThe American journal of medicine2022

Elevated NT-ProBNP as a Cardiovascular Disease Risk Equivalent: Evidence from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

Justin Basile Tcheugui, Sui Zhang, John William McEvoy, Chiadi E Ndumele, Ron C Hoogeveen, Josef Coresh, Elizabeth Selvin

Erratum issuedOpen access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American journal of medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Periodontitis, subclinical myocardial injury, and cardiovascular mortality among US adults: a population-based study.Inflammation research : official journal of the European Histamine Research Society ... [et al.] · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Signs and symptoms of carriers of non-Journal of neuromuscular diseases · 2025
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Justin Basile TcheuguiDivision of Endocrinology, Diabetes & Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD. Electronic address: jechouf1@jhmi.edu.
Sui ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology and Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology, and Clinical Research, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD.
John William McEvoyDivision of Cardiology and National Institute for Prevention and Cardiovascular Health, National University of Ireland, Galway, Ireland.
Chiadi E NdumeleDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD.
Ron C HoogeveenSection of Cardiovascular Research, Baylor College of Medicine & Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center, Houston, TX.
Josef CoreshDepartment of Epidemiology and Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology, and Clinical Research, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD.
Elizabeth SelvinDepartment of Epidemiology and Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology, and Clinical Research, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD.
Johns Hopkins University · USHouston Methodist · USOllscoil na Gaillimhe – University of Galway · IE

Funding

Diabetes and Prediabetes in Older Adults in ARICR01DK089174 · NIDDK · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SELVIN, ELIZABETH · 2011 to 2020
$6.4M
Establishing the Pathways Between Diabetes and Cardiac Dysfunction: Epidemiology, Biomarkers, and ImagingK23HL153774 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI ECHOUFFO TCHEUGUI, JUSTIN BASILE · 2020 to 2024
$991k
Research and Mentoring in the Clinical Epidemiology of Cardiovascular Disease and Type 2 DiabetesK24HL152440 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SELVIN, ELIZABETH · 2020 to 2024
$612k
NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700001CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700001INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700002CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700002INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700003CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700003INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700004CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700004INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700005CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700005INHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL153774NHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL152440NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK089174
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIt remains unclear whether elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) can serve as a "risk equivalent" for cardiovascular disease to adults at high cardiovascular risk.

methodsWe included 9789 participants (mean age 63.2 years, 55% women, 19.4% Black, 13% with a history of cardiovascular disease) who attended Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study Visit 4 (1996-1998). We classified participants as having a history of cardiovascular disease at baseline and, among those without cardiovascular disease, we defined categories of NT-proBNP (<125, 125-449, ≥450 pg/mL). We used Cox regression to estimate associations of NT-proBNP with incident cardiovascular disease and mortality.

resultsOver a median 20.5 years of follow-up, there were 4562 deaths (917 cardiovascular deaths). There were 2817 first events and 806 recurrent events (in those with a history of cardiovascular disease at baseline). Among individuals without a history of cardiovascular disease, those adults with NT-proBNP ≥450 pg/mL had significantly higher risks of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] 2.12; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.78-2.53), cardiovascular mortality (HR 2.92; 95% CI, 2.15-3.97), incident total cardiovascular disease (HR 2.59; 95% CI, 2.13-3.16), atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (HR 2.20; 95% CI, 1.72-2.80), and heart failure (HR 3.81; 95% CI, 3.01-4.81), compared with individuals with NT-proBNP <125 pg/mL. The elevated cardiovascular risk in persons with high NT-proBNP and no history of cardiovascular disease was similar to, or higher than, the risk conferred by a history of cardiovascular disease.

conclusionsOur findings suggest that it might be appropriate to manage adults with NT-proBNP ≥450 pg/mL as if they had a history of clinical cardiovascular disease.

Indexed as

AtherosclerosisCardiovascular DiseasesAdultFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide FragmentsNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide Fragmentspro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)Cardiac biomarkersCardiovascular riskEpidemiology

Identifiers

PMID36007589
PMCPMC10208080
OpenAlexW4292822033

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.