Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36004644›Full record

ArticleCirculation2022

Risk of Macrovascular and Microvascular Disease in Diabetes Diagnosed Using Oral Glucose Tolerance Test With and Without Confirmation by Hemoglobin A1c: The Whitehall II Cohort Study.

Adam G Tabák, Eric J Brunner, Joni V Lindbohm, Archana Singh-Manoux, Martin J Shipley, Naveed Sattar, Mika Kivimäki

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
4.2field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 5 countries.

Adam G TabákDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK (A.G.T., E.J.B., J.V.L., A.S.-M., M.J.S., M.K.).ORCID 0000-0002-6234-3936
Eric J BrunnerDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK (A.G.T., E.J.B., J.V.L., A.S.-M., M.J.S., M.K.).ORCID 0000-0002-0595-4474
Joni V LindbohmDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK (A.G.T., E.J.B., J.V.L., A.S.-M., M.J.S., M.K.).
Archana Singh-ManouxDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK (A.G.T., E.J.B., J.V.L., A.S.-M., M.J.S., M.K.).ORCID 0000-0002-1244-5037
Martin J ShipleyDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK (A.G.T., E.J.B., J.V.L., A.S.-M., M.J.S., M.K.).
Naveed SattarBHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, UK (N.S.).ORCID 0000-0002-1604-2593
Mika KivimäkiDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK (A.G.T., E.J.B., J.V.L., A.S.-M., M.J.S., M.K.).ORCID 0000-0002-4699-5627
Johnson & Johnson (United Kingdom) · GBUniversity of Helsinki · FIInserm · FRSemmelweis University · HUUniversity of Glasgow · GB

Funding

Education, socioeconomic status and Aging: transitions from multimorbidity to functional limitations and mortalityR01AG056477 · NIA · UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON · PI KIVIMAKI, MIKA J, SINGH-MANOUX, ARCHANA · 2018 to 2022
$2.8M
Health Conditions among Elderly in Latin AmericaR01AG025533 · NIA · UNIV OF MARYLAND, COLLEGE PARK · PI WONG, REBECA · 2005 to 2008
$600k
British Heart Foundation RG/13/2/30098British Heart Foundation RG/16/11/32334Medical Research Council MR/K013351/1Medical Research Council MR/R024227/1Medical Research Council MR/S011676/1NIA NIH HHS R01 AG025533NIA NIH HHS R01 AG056477Wellcome Trust 221854
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIt is unclear whether replacing oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) with hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) measurement for diagnosing diabetes is justified. We aimed to assess the proportion of OGTT-diagnosed diabetes cases that can be confirmed by HbA1c and to examine whether individuals with OGTT diagnosis but nondiagnostic HbA1c are at higher risk of macrovascular and microvascular disease.

methodsParticipants were 5773 men and women from the population-based Whitehall II prospective cohort study in the United Kingdom. New OGTT diabetes cases diagnosed in clinical examinations in 2002 to 2004 and 2007 to 2009 were assessed for HbA1c confirmation (≥6.5%) in these and subsequent clinical examinations in 2012 to 2013 and 2015 to 2016. All participants were followed up for major cardiovascular events through linkage to electronic health records until 2017 and for incident chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL·min

resultsOf the 378 (59.3%) participants with OGTT-diagnosed diabetes, 224 were confirmed by HbA1c during 4.1 years (SD, 4.1 years) of follow-up. We recorded 942 cardiovascular events over 12.1 years. After adjustment for nonmodifiable risk factors and compared with the 4997 diabetes-free participants, 371 participants with new HbA1c-confirmed diabetes and 405 participants with preexisting diabetes had increased risk of cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio, 1.53 [95% CI, 1.12-2.10] and 1.85 [95% CI, 1.50-2.28], respectively). The corresponding hazard ratios in the analysis of incident chronic kidney disease (487 cases; follow-up, 6.6 years) were 1.69 (95% CI, 1.09-2.62) for 282 participants with new HbA1c-confirmed diabetes and 1.67 (95% CI, 1.22-2.28) for 276 participants with preexisting diabetes. In both analyses, OGTT cases with nondiagnostic HbA1c (n=149 and 107) had a risk (hazard ratio, 0.99-1.07) similar to that of the diabetes-free population.

conclusionsMore than 40% of OGTT-diagnosed diabetes cases were not confirmed by HbA1c during an extended follow-up. However, because these individuals have a risk of cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease similar to that of the diabetes-free population, replacement of OGTT with HbA1c-based diagnosis appears justified.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes MellitusRenal Insufficiency, ChronicBlood GlucoseCohort StudiesFemaleGlucose Tolerance TestGlycated HemoglobinHumansMaleProspective StudiesBlood GlucoseGlycated Hemoglobincardiovascular diseasescohort studiesdiabetes mellitus, type 2glucose tolerance testglycated hemoglobin Arenal insufficiency, chronic

Identifiers

PMID36004644
PMCPMC9508989
OpenAlexW4293102379

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.