Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35999952›Full record

ArticleAdvances in neural information processing systems2021

Dynamic COVID risk assessment accounting for community virus exposure from a spatial-temporal transmission model.

Yuan Chen, Wenbo Fei, Qinxia Wang, Donglin Zeng, Yuanjia Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Advances in neural information processing systems, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Yuan ChenDepartment of Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY 10017.
Wenbo FeiDepartment of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.
Qinxia WangDepartment of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.
Donglin ZengDepartment of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27516.
Yuanjia WangDepartment of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Statistical Methods for Integrating Mixed-type Biomarkers and Phenotypes in Neurodegenerative Disease ModelingR01NS073671 · NINDS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI WANG, YUANJIA · 2011 to 2025
$3.9M
Statistical and Machine Learning Methods to Improve Dynamic Treatment Regimens Estimation Using Real World Data.R01GM124104 · NIGMS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Yuanjia Wang, Donglin Zeng · 2018 to 2026
$3.1M
Machine Learning Methods for Optimizing Individualized Treatment Strategies for Precision PsychiatryR01MH123487 · NIMH · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI WANG, YUANJIA · 2021 to 2025
$2.0M
Novel Deep Learning Tools for Clinical Decision Support in Postoperative Pain ManagementR56LM013784 · NLM · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ZOU, BAIMING · 2022 to 2023
$832k
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM124104NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH123487NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS073671NLM NIH HHS R56 LM013784
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

COVID-19 pandemic has caused unprecedented negative impacts on our society, including further exposing inequity and disparity in public health. To study the impact of socioeconomic factors on COVID transmission, we first propose a spatial-temporal model to examine the socioeconomic heterogeneity and spatial correlation of COVID-19 transmission at the community level. Second, to assess the individual risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes after a positive diagnosis, we propose a dynamic, varying-coefficient model that integrates individual-level risk factors from electronic health records (EHRs) with community-level risk factors. The underlying neighborhood prevalence of infections (both symptomatic and pre-symptomatic) predicted from the previous spatial-temporal model is included in the individual risk assessment so as to better capture the background risk of virus exposure for each individual. We design a weighting scheme to mitigate multiple selection biases inherited in EHRs of COVID patients. We analyze COVID transmission data in New York City (NYC, the epicenter of the first surge in the United States) and EHRs from NYC hospitals, where time-varying effects of community risk factors and significant interactions between individual- and community-level risk factors are detected. By examining the socioeconomic disparity of infection risks and interaction among the risk factors, our methods can assist public health decision-making and facilitate better clinical management of COVID patients.

Identifiers

PMID35999952
PMCPMC9394187

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.