ArticleArchives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique2022
Incidence of infant mortality and its predictors in East Africa using Gompertz gamma shared frailty model.
Article in Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.
- Under-five mortality and social determinants in africa: a systematic review.European journal of pediatrics · 2025Pooled it
- Infant mortality rate and time to death determinants in East Africa: A Bayesian spatial frailty analysis of DHS data (2015-2022).PloS one · 2026Article
- Article
- Socio-economic and geographical inequalities in infant mortality rates in Sierra Leone, 2008-2019.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Prevalence and determinants of post-neonatal mortality in East Africa: a multilevel analysis of the recent demographic and health survey.Frontiers in pediatrics · 2025Article
- Under-Five Mortality and Associated Risk Factors in Children Hospitalized at David Bernardino Pediatric Hospital (DBPH), Angola: A Hierarchical Approach.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Article
- Perspectives of Pediatric Vaccination Among the Batwa Community in Western Uganda: A Qualitative Study.Global pediatric health · 2024Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundGlobally, infant mortality is a major public health concern and a sensitive indicator of countries' socio-economic and health status. Despite the substantial reduction of under-five mortality in sub-Saharan African countries specifically in East Africa, the infant mortality rate remains highest and too far below to achieve the WHO target. As to our search of the literature is concerned, there is a dearth of evidence on the incidence and predictors of infant mortality in East Africa. Therefore, this study investigated the incidence of infant mortality and its predictors in East Africa.
methodsThe present study has utilized 138,803 weighted samples from Demographic and Health Surveys (DHSs) of 12 East African countries. Considering the hierarchical nature of DHS data shared frailty parametric survival models were fitted and compared based on deviance (-2LLR), AIC, and BIC. Gompertz gamma shared frailty model was the best-fitted model for the data since it had the lowest deviance, AIC, and BIC values. Variables with a p-value < 0.2 in the bi-variable analysis were considered for the multivariable analysis. In the multivariable Gompertz gamma shared analysis, the Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) with 95% Confidence Interval (CI) was reported to declare the significant predictors of infant mortality.
resultsThe infant mortality rate in East Africa was 41.41 per 1000 live births. Mothers aged 25-34 years, wanted birth, health facility delivery, 1-3 ANC visit, being 2
conclusionDespite the substantial progress in improving maternal and child health, this study showed that infant mortality is still a major public health concern in East Africa. Maternal age, place of delivery, maternal education, birth size, sex of the child, mode of delivery, women's autonomy, birth order, birth interval, and ANC visit were found to be significant predictors of infant mortality. Therefore, public health interventions enhancing health facility delivery, ANC visit, maternal education, birth spacing, and empowering women are crucial for reducing the incidence of infant mortality in East Africa.
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