Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35997863›Full record

ArticleHealth care management science2022

Excess deaths by sex and Age Group in the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.

Ian G Ludden, Sheldon H Jacobson, Janet A Jokela

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health care management science, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Ian G LuddenDepartment of Computer Science, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA. iludden2@illinois.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5913-1123
Sheldon H JacobsonDepartment of Computer Science, Carle Illinois School of Medicine, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9042-8750
Janet A JokelaUniversity of Illinois College of Medicine at Urbana, Urbana, IL, USA.

Funding

National Science Foundation DGE - - 1746047
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic hastened hundreds of thousands of deaths in the United States. Many of these excess deaths are directly attributed to COVID-19, but others stem from the pandemic's social, economic, and health care system disruptions. This study compares provisional mortality data for age and sex subgroups across different time windows, with and without COVID-19 deaths, and assesses whether mortality risks are returning to pre-pandemic levels. Using provisional mortality reports from the CDC, we compute mortality risks for 22 age and sex subgroups in 2021 and compare against 2015-2019 using odds ratios. We repeat this comparison for the first twelve full months of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States (April 2020-March 2021) against the next twelve full months (April 2021-March 2022). Mortality risks for most subgroups were significantly higher in 2021 than in 2015-2019, both with and without deaths involving COVID-19. For ages 25-54, Year 2 (April 2021-March 2022) was more fatal than Year 1 (April 2020-March 2021), whereas total mortality risks for the 65 + age groups declined. Given so many displaced deaths in the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic, mortality risks in the next few years may fall below pre-pandemic levels. Provisional mortality data suggest this is already happening for the 75 + age groups when excluding COVID-19 deaths.

Indexed as

COVID-19AdultChild, PreschoolHumansMiddle AgedPandemicsUnited StatesCOVID-19Odds ratiosRisk analysis

Identifiers

PMID35997863
PMCPMC9395936

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.