Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35995843›Full record

ArticleCommunications biology2022

Non-linear machine learning models incorporating SNPs and PRS improve polygenic prediction in diverse human populations.

Michael Elgart, Genevieve Lyons, Santiago Romero-Brufau, Nuzulul Kurniansyah, Jennifer A Brody, Xiuqing Guo, Henry J Lin, Laura Raffield, Yan Gao, Han Chen and 13 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 62 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
62citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
17.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

62 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 101 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Polygenic Risk Scores for Myopia: A Systematic Review of Predictive Performance and Clinical Potential.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2026
    Pooled it
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2 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors at 13 institutions in 1 country.

Michael Elgart *Division of Sleep and Circadian Disorders, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA. melgart@bwh.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-8608-4505
Genevieve Lyons *Division of Sleep and Circadian Disorders, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7936-6210
Santiago Romero-BrufauDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9922-0083
Nuzulul KurniansyahDivision of Sleep and Circadian Disorders, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Jennifer A BrodyCardiovascular Health Research Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8509-148X
Xiuqing GuoThe Institute for Translational Genomics and Population Sciences, Department of Pediatrics, The Lundquist Institute for Biomedical Innovation at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5264-5068
Henry J LinThe Institute for Translational Genomics and Population Sciences, Department of Pediatrics, The Lundquist Institute for Biomedical Innovation at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6771-0486
Laura RaffieldDepartment of Genetics, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7892-193X
Yan GaoThe Jackson Heart Study, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson, MS, USA.
Han ChenHuman Genetics Center, Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
Paul de VriesHuman Genetics Center, Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
Donald M Lloyd-JonesDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA.
Leslie A LangeDepartment of Medicine, University of Colorado Denver, Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO, USA.
Gina M PelosoDepartment of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5355-8636
Myriam FornageHuman Genetics Center, Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0677-8158
Jerome I RotterThe Institute for Translational Genomics and Population Sciences, Department of Pediatrics, The Lundquist Institute for Biomedical Innovation at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA, USA.
Stephen S RichCenter for Public Health Genomics, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3872-7793
Alanna C MorrisonHuman Genetics Center, Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6381-4296
Bruce M PsatyCardiovascular Health Research Unit, Departments of Medicine, Epidemiology, and Health Services, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7278-2190
Daniel LevyThe Population Sciences Branch of the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Susan RedlineDivision of Sleep and Circadian Disorders, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6585-1610
NHLBI’s Trans-Omics in Precision Medicine (TOPMed) Consortium
Tamar SoferDivision of Sleep and Circadian Disorders, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA. tsofer@bwh.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-8520-8860
Brigham and Women's Hospital · USThe University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston · USUCLA Medical Center · USUniversity of Washington · USBoston University · USBrown Foundation · USJackson Memorial Hospital · USMayo Clinic · USNational Heart Lung and Blood Institute · USNorthwestern University · USUniversity of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus · USUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USUniversity of Virginia · US

Funding

Large Scale Sequencing and Analysis of GenomesU54HG003067 · NHGRI · MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY · PI GABRIEL, STACEY, LANDER, ERIC S · 2004 to 2015
$568.6M
The Human Genome Sequencing CenterU54HG003273 · NHGRI · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI GIBBS, RICHARD A · 2004 to 2015
$341.3M
Genomic Architecture of Common Disease in Diverse Populations: WGS of Ongoing Hemorrhagic Stroke Study SupplementUM1HG008898 · NHGRI · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI GIBBS, RICHARD A · 2016 to 2020
$77.0M
IDENTIFICATION OF COMMON GENETIC VARIANTS FOR ATRIAL FIBRILLATION AND PR INTERVALR01HL092577 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI BENJAMIN, EMELIA J., ELLINOR, PATRICK THOMAS · 2009 to 2025
$20.6M
Epidemiology of Venous Thrombosis & Pulmonary EmbolismR01HL059367 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI TANG, WEIHONG · 1998 to 2024
$11.8M
North Carolina Translational and Clinical Science Institute (NC TraCS) KL2KL2TR002490 · NCATS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI WEINBERGER, MORRIS · 2018 to 2022
$11.0M
Studies of Rare Genetic Variation in the Isolated Population of SardiniaR01HL117626 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ABECASIS, GONCALO · 2013 to 2016
$10.5M
Rare variants and NHLBI traits in deeply phenotyped cohortsR01HL120393 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI PSATY, BRUCE M, RICE, KENNETH M. · 2014 to 2016
$8.9M
ASSOCIATION OF SLEEP DISORDERS WITH CARDIOVASCULAR HEALTH ACROSS ETHNIC GROUPSR01HL098433 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI REDLINE, SUSAN S. · 2010 to 2015
$8.2M
Using genetic variation to study biology of blood lipids & coronary heart diseaseR01HL127564 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Pradeep Natarajan, Gina Marie Peloso · 2015 to 2026
$7.3M
Phenotypic and Molecular Signatures for Sleep Apnea and Related MorbiditiesR35HL135818 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI REDLINE, SUSAN S. · 2017 to 2023
$7.2M
Rare variants and NHLBI traits in deeply phenotyped cohortsU01HL120393 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI PSATY, BRUCE M, RICE, KENNETH M. · 2017 to 2018
$5.6M
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR002490NHGRI NIH HHS U24 HG008956NHGRI NIH HHS U54 HG003067NHGRI NIH HHS U54 HG003273NHGRI NIH HHS UM1 HG008898NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100037CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500014CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500015CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800001CNHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL059367NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL092577NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL098433NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL117626NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL120393NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL127564NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL142711NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL146860NHLBI NIH HHS R21 HL145425NHLBI NIH HHS R35 HL135818NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL120393NIA NIH HHS R21 AG070644NIEHS NIH HHS HHSN268201600032CNIEHS NIH HHS HHSN268201600033C
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) are commonly used to quantify the inherited susceptibility for a trait, yet they fail to account for non-linear and interaction effects between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). We address this via a machine learning approach, validated in nine complex phenotypes in a multi-ancestry population. We use an ensemble method of SNP selection followed by gradient boosted trees (XGBoost) to allow for non-linearities and interaction effects. We compare our results to the standard, linear PRS model developed using PRSice, LDpred2, and lassosum2. Combining a PRS as a feature in an XGBoost model results in a relative increase in the percentage variance explained compared to the standard linear PRS model by 22% for height, 27% for HDL cholesterol, 43% for body mass index, 50% for sleep duration, 58% for systolic blood pressure, 64% for total cholesterol, 66% for triglycerides, 77% for LDL cholesterol, and 100% for diastolic blood pressure. Multi-ancestry trained models perform similarly to specific racial/ethnic group trained models and are consistently superior to the standard linear PRS models. This work demonstrates an effective method to account for non-linearities and interaction effects in genetics-based prediction models.

Indexed as

Genome-Wide Association StudyPolymorphism, Single NucleotideGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansMachine LearningMultifactorial Inheritance

Identifiers

PMID35995843
PMCPMC9395509
OpenAlexW4292622945

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.