Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35993283›Full record

ArticleAustralasian journal on ageing2022

Demographic drivers of the growth of the number of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people living with dementia, 2016-2051.

Jeromey Temple, Tom Wilson, Kylie Radford, Dina LoGiudice, Ariane Utomo, Kaarin J Anstey, Sandra Eades

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Australasian journal on ageing, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Advancing brain health equity with Indigenous peoples: A critical imperative.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jeromey TempleMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2819-2863
Tom WilsonMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8812-7556
Kylie RadfordNeuroscience Research Australia, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8095-5314
Dina LoGiudiceFaculty of Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Ariane UtomoSchool of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2314-9513
Kaarin J AnsteyNeuroscience Research Australia, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Sandra EadesMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

Funding

Australian Research Council Centre for Excellence in Population Ageing Research
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo examine the demographic drivers that contribute to the future growth in the population of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples living with dementia in Australia.

methodsDesign: Multistate, Indigenous status, cohort component, population projection model.

settingNational-level, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population. DATA: Data prepared by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on births, deaths, migration and identification change. Australian Institute of Health and Welfare estimates of dementia prevalence alongside estimates from several studies. MAJOR OUTCOME MEASURES: Number of older people living with dementia alongside a decomposition of demographic drivers of growth.

resultsBy 2051, the relative growth in the number of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples aged 50+ with dementia ranges from 4½ to 5½ times (under three prevalence scenarios) its 2016 estimate. Cohort flow (the gradual movement of younger cohorts into the 50+ age group, and the depletion of older cohorts from death, over time) is a key driver of the growth in the number of older people living with dementia.

conclusionsHigh growth in the number of people living with dementia poses implications for culturally appropriate care, health-care access and support for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander families, carers and their communities.

Indexed as

DementiaHealth Services, IndigenousAgedAustraliaAustralian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander PeoplesHealth Services AccessibilityHumansPopulation Groupsdementiahealth services-Indigenouspopulation forecast

Identifiers

PMID35993283
PMCPMC10087408

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.