ArticleFrontiers in public health2022
Quantifying the future risk of dengue under climate change in Japan.
Article in Frontiers in public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Fluid management and outcomes of dengue fever in Japan: single-center descriptive study in a non-endemic country.Tropical medicine and health · 2026Article
- A State-of-the-Science Review of Long-Term Predictions of Climate Change Impacts on Dengue Transmission Risk.Environmental health perspectives · 2025Review
- Tahyna virus: an emerging threat to public health.Archives of virology · 2025Review
- Buruli ulcer: An epidemiological update from Japan.The Journal of dermatology · 2025Review
- Climate change and expansion of vector-borne diseases in Japan: A public health challenge.New microbes and new infections · 2024Article
- Projection of dengue fever transmissibility under climate change in South and Southeast Asian countries.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: In metropolitan Tokyo in 2014, Japan experienced its first domestic dengue outbreak since 1945. The objective of the present study was to quantitatively assess the future risk of dengue in Japan using climate change scenarios in a high-resolution geospatial environment by building on a solid theory as a baseline in consideration of future adaptation strategies. Methods: Using climate change scenarios of the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate version 6 (MIROC6), representative concentration pathway (RCP) 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5, we computed the daily average temperature and embedded this in the effective reproduction number of dengue, Results: In June and October, the Conclusion: Each locality in Japan must formulate action plans in response to the presented scenarios. Our geographic analysis can help local governments to develop adaptation policies that include mosquito breeding site elimination, distribution of adulticides and larvicides, and elevated situation awareness to prevent transmission
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