Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35988455›Full record

ArticleESMO open2022

Multimodal survival prediction in advanced pancreatic cancer using machine learning.

J Keyl, S Kasper, M Wiesweg, J Götze, M Schönrock, M Sinn, A Berger, E Nasca, K Kostbade, B Schumacher and 8 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ESMO open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.2field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 43 citations in OpenAlex.

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  3. Artificial intelligence in pancreatic cancer: applications in early detection, tumor staging, and survival prediction-a comprehensive review.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

J KeylDepartment of Medical Oncology, West German Cancer Center, University Hospital Essen (AöR), University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany; Institute for AI in Medicine (IKIM), University Hospital Essen (AöR), Essen, Germany; German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), Partner site University Hospital Essen (AöR), Essen, Germany. Electronic address: Julius.Keyl@uk-essen.de.
S KasperDepartment of Medical Oncology, West German Cancer Center, University Hospital Essen (AöR), University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany; German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), Partner site University Hospital Essen (AöR), Essen, Germany; Medical Faculty, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany.
M WieswegDepartment of Medical Oncology, West German Cancer Center, University Hospital Essen (AöR), University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany; Medical Faculty, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany.
J GötzeDepartment of Internal Medicine II, Oncology, Hematology, BMT and Pneumology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
M SchönrockDepartment of Internal Medicine II, Oncology, Hematology, BMT and Pneumology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
M SinnDepartment of Internal Medicine II, Oncology, Hematology, BMT and Pneumology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
A BergerInstitute for AI in Medicine (IKIM), University Hospital Essen (AöR), Essen, Germany.
E NascaInstitute for AI in Medicine (IKIM), University Hospital Essen (AöR), Essen, Germany.
K KostbadeDepartment of Medical Oncology, West German Cancer Center, University Hospital Essen (AöR), University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany; Medical Faculty, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany.
B SchumacherDepartment of Gastroenterology, Elisabeth Hospital Essen, Essen, Germany.
P MarkusDepartment of General Surgery and Traumatology, Elisabeth Hospital Essen, Essen, Germany.
D AlbersDepartment of Gastroenterology, Elisabeth Hospital Essen, Essen, Germany.
J TreckmannDepartment of General, Visceral and Transplant Surgery, West German Cancer Center, University Hospital Essen (AöR), Essen, Germany.
K W SchmidMedical Faculty, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany; Institute of Pathology, West German Cancer Center, University Hospital Essen (AöR), Essen, Germany.
H-U SchildhausMedical Faculty, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany; Institute of Pathology, West German Cancer Center, University Hospital Essen (AöR), Essen, Germany.
J T SivekeDepartment of Medical Oncology, West German Cancer Center, University Hospital Essen (AöR), University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany; Medical Faculty, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany; Bridge Institute of Experimental Tumor Therapy (BIT), West German Cancer Center, University Hospital Essen (AöR), Essen, Germany; Division of Solid Tumor Translational Oncology, German Cancer Consortium (DKTK) Partner site Essen, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
M SchulerDepartment of Medical Oncology, West German Cancer Center, University Hospital Essen (AöR), University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany; German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), Partner site University Hospital Essen (AöR), Essen, Germany; Medical Faculty, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany.
J KleesiekInstitute for AI in Medicine (IKIM), University Hospital Essen (AöR), Essen, Germany; Medical Faculty, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany.
University of Duisburg-Essen · DEElisabeth-Krankenhaus Essen · DEUniversity Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf · DEEssen University Hospital · DEGerman Cancer Research Center · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExisting risk scores appear insufficient to assess the individual survival risk of patients with advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and do not take advantage of the variety of parameters that are collected during clinical care.

methodsIn this retrospective study, we built a random survival forest model from clinical data of 203 patients with advanced PDAC. The parameters were assessed before initiation of systemic treatment and included age, CA19-9, C-reactive protein, metastatic status, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and total serum protein level. Separate models including imaging and molecular parameters were built for subgroups.

resultsOver the entire cohort, a model based on clinical parameters achieved a c-index of 0.71. Our approach outperformed the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system and the modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) in the identification of high- and low-risk subgroups. Inclusion of the KRAS p.G12D mutational status could further improve the prediction, whereas radiomics data of the primary tumor only showed little benefit. In an external validation cohort of PDAC patients with liver metastases, our model achieved a c-index of 0.67 (mGPS: 0.59).

conclusionsThe combination of multimodal data and machine-learning algorithms holds potential for personalized prognostication in advanced PDAC already at diagnosis.

Indexed as

AdenocarcinomaPancreatic NeoplasmsCA-19-9 AntigenC-Reactive ProteinHumansMachine LearningNeoplasm StagingPrognosisProto-Oncogene Proteins p21(ras)Retrospective StudiesCA-19-9 AntigenC-Reactive ProteinProto-Oncogene Proteins p21(ras)computed tomographygeneticsmachine learningpancreatic cancerprognosissurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID35988455
PMCPMC9588888
OpenAlexW4292685074

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.