Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35988264›Full record

ArticleCPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology2022

Performance of Cox proportional hazard models on recovering the ground truth of confounded exposure-response relationships for large-molecule oncology drugs.

Victor Poon, Dan Lu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Victor PoonModeling and Simulation Group, Department of Clinical Pharmacology, Genentech, Inc., South San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4215-2198
Dan LuModeling and Simulation Group, Department of Clinical Pharmacology, Genentech, Inc., South San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4531-3599

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A Cox proportional hazard (CoxPH) model is conventionally used to assess exposure-response (E-R), but its performance to uncover the ground truth when only one dose level of data is available has not been systematically evaluated. We established a simulation workflow to generate realistic E-R datasets to assess the performance of the CoxPH model in recovering the E-R ground truth in various scenarios, considering two potential reasons for the confounded E-R relationship. We found that at high doses, when the pharmacological effects are largely saturated, missing important confounders is the major reason for inferring false-positive E-R relationships. At low doses, when a positive E-R slope is the ground truth, either missing important confounders or mis-specifying the interactions can lead to inaccurate estimates of the E-R slope. This work constructed a simulation workflow generally applicable to clinical datasets to generate clinically relevant simulations and provide an in-depth interpretation on the E-R relationships with confounders inferred by the conventional CoxPH model.

Indexed as

Proportional Hazards ModelsComputer SimulationHumans

Identifiers

PMID35988264
PMCPMC9662202

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.