Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35987980›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Split westerlies over Europe in the early Little Ice Age.

Hsun-Ming Hu, Chuan-Chou Shen, John C H Chiang, Valerie Trouet, Véronique Michel, Hsien-Chen Tsai, Patricia Valensi, Christoph Spötl, Elisabetta Starnini, Marta Zunino and 5 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Sub-epsilon naturalScience advances · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Hsun-Ming HuHigh-Precision Mass Spectrometry and Environment Change Laboratory (HISPEC), Department of Geosciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, 10617, Taiwan, ROC.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9204-8874
Chuan-Chou ShenHigh-Precision Mass Spectrometry and Environment Change Laboratory (HISPEC), Department of Geosciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, 10617, Taiwan, ROC. river@ntu.edu.tw.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2833-2771
John C H ChiangDepartment of Geography, University of California, Berkeley, CA, 94720, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7723-9544
Valerie TrouetLaboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, 85721, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2683-8704
Véronique MichelUniversité Côte d'Azur, CNRS, CEPAM, Nice, 06300, France.
Hsien-Chen TsaiHigh-Precision Mass Spectrometry and Environment Change Laboratory (HISPEC), Department of Geosciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, 10617, Taiwan, ROC.
Patricia ValensiHNHP, UMR 7194: CNRS-MNHN-UPVD, Paris, 75013, France.
Christoph SpötlInstitute of Geology, University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, 6020, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7167-4940
Elisabetta StarniniDepartment of Civilizations and Forms of Knowledge, University of Pisa, Pisa, 56126, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3933-0854
Marta ZuninoToirano Cave, Piazzale D. Maineri 1, Toirano (SV), 17055, Italy.
Wei-Yi ChienHigh-Precision Mass Spectrometry and Environment Change Laboratory (HISPEC), Department of Geosciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, 10617, Taiwan, ROC.
Wen-Hui SungHigh-Precision Mass Spectrometry and Environment Change Laboratory (HISPEC), Department of Geosciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, 10617, Taiwan, ROC.
Yu-Tang ChienNational Science and Technology Center for Disaster Reduction, New Taipei City, 23143, Taiwan, ROC.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5782-4623
Ping ChangTexas A&M University, College Station, TX, 77843, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9085-0759
Robert KortyTexas A&M University, College Station, TX, 77843, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Little Ice Age (LIA; ca. 1450-1850 C.E.) is the best documented cold period of the past millennium, characterized by high-frequency volcanism, low solar activity, and high variability of Arctic sea-ice cover. Past studies of LIA Atlantic circulation changes have referenced the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), but recent studies have noted that LIA climate patterns appear to possess complexity not captured by an NAO analogue. Here, we present a new precipitation-sensitive stalagmite record from northern Italy that covers the past 800 years. We show that in the early LIA (1470-1610 C.E.), increased atmospheric ridging over northern Europe split the climatological westerlies away from central and northern Europe, possibly caused by concurrent Artic sea-ice reduction. With ongoing ice melting in the northern high latitudes and decreasing solar irradiance in the coming years, the early LIA may potentially serve as an analogue for European hydroclimatic conditions in the coming decades.

Indexed as

ClimateIce CoverArctic RegionsClimate ChangeEurope

Identifiers

PMID35987980
PMCPMC9392774

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.