Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35987652›Full record

ArticleGlobalization and health2022

The effect of COVID-19 on public confidence in the World Health Organization: a natural experiment among 40 countries.

Chao Guo, Xiyuan Hu, Dianqi Yuan, Yuyu Zeng, Peisen Yang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Globalization and health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Chao GuoInstitute of Population Research, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China. chaoguo@pku.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0003-4343-4848
Xiyuan HuInstitute of Population Research, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Dianqi YuanInstitute of Population Research, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Yuyu ZengInstitute of Population Research, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Peisen YangInstitute of Population Research, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Peking University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAt a time when a highly contagious pandemic and global political and economic turmoil are intertwined, worldwide cooperation under the leadership of an international organization has become increasingly important. This study aimed to estimate the effect of COVID-19 on public confidence in the World Health Organization (WHO), which will serve as a reference for other international organizations regarding the maintenance of their credibility in crisis management and ability to play a greater role in global health governance.

methodsWe obtained individual data from the World Values Survey (WVS). A total of 44,775 participants aged 16 and older from 40 countries in six WHO regions were included in this study. The COVID-19 pandemic was used as a natural experiment. We obtained difference-in-differences (DID) estimates of the pandemic's effects by exploiting temporal variation in the timing of COVID-19 exposure across participants interviewed from 2017 to 2020 together with the geographical variation in COVID-19 severity at the country level. Public confidence in the WHO was self-reported by the respondents.

resultsAmong the participants, 28,087 (62.73%) reported having confidence in the WHO. The DID estimates showed that the COVID-19 pandemic could significantly decrease the likelihood of people reporting confidence in the WHO after controlling for multiple covariates (adjusted OR 0.54, 95% CI: 0.49-0.61), especially during the global outbreak (0.35, 0.24-0.50). The effect was found in both younger individuals (0.58, 0.51-0.66) and older adults (0.49, 0.38-0.63) and in both males (0.47, 0.40-0.55) and females (0.62, 0.53-0.72), with a vulnerability in males (adjusted P for interaction = 0.008).

conclusionOur findings are relevant regarding the impact of COVID-19 on people's beliefs about social institutions of global standing, highlighting the need for the WHO and other international organizations to shoulder the responsibility of global development for the establishment and maintenance of public credibility in the face of emergencies, as well as the prevention of confidence crises.

Indexed as

COVID-19AgedDisease OutbreaksFemaleGlobal HealthHumansMalePandemicsPublic HealthSARS-CoV-2COVID-19PandemicPublic confidenceTrustWorld Health Organization

Identifiers

PMID35987652
PMCPMC9392065
OpenAlexW4292475154

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.