Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35984855›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2022

Avoiding costly mistakes in groups: The evolution of error management in collective decision making.

Alan N Tump, Max Wolf, Pawel Romanczuk, Ralf H J M Kurvers

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. A Cognitive Computational Approach to Social and Collective Decision-Making.Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Beyond collective intelligence: Collective adaptation.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2023
    Review
  10. The social transmission of stress in animal collectives.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2022
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Alan N TumpCenter for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7725-7929
Max WolfScience of Intelligence, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Pawel RomanczukScience of Intelligence, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Ralf H J M KurversCenter for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-3460-0392

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Individuals continuously have to balance the error costs of alternative decisions. A wealth of research has studied how single individuals navigate this, showing that individuals develop response biases to avoid the more costly error. We, however, know little about the dynamics in groups facing asymmetrical error costs and when social influence amplifies either safe or risky behavior. Here, we investigate this by modeling the decision process and information flow with a drift-diffusion model extended to the social domain. In the model individuals first gather independent personal information; they then enter a social phase in which they can either decide early based on personal information, or wait for additional social information. We combined the model with an evolutionary algorithm to derive adaptive behavior. We find that under asymmetric costs, individuals in large cooperative groups do not develop response biases because such biases amplify at the collective level, triggering false information cascades. Selfish individuals, however, undermine the group's performance for their own benefit by developing higher response biases and waiting for more information. Our results have implications for our understanding of the social dynamics in groups facing asymmetrical errors costs, such as animal groups evading predation or police officers holding a suspect at gunpoint.

Indexed as

Decision MakingPredatory BehaviorAlgorithmsAnimalsSocial Behavior

Identifiers

PMID35984855
PMCPMC9432742

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.