Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35983583›Full record

ArticleThe British journal of surgery2022

Development and external validation of DISPAIR fistula risk score for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula risk after distal pancreatectomy.

Akseli Bonsdorff, Poya Ghorbani, Ilkka Helanterä, Timo Tarvainen, Tea Kontio, Hanna Belfrage, Jukka Sirén, Arto Kokkola, Ernesto Sparrelid, Ville Sallinen

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The British journal of surgery, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06141044 (PANDREAS. Prophylactic Abdominal Drainage vs no Drainage After Distal Pancreatectomy), which is not on this map. Cited by 28 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
4.6field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06141044 nanot yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

PANDREAS. Prophylactic Abdominal Drainage vs no Drainage After Distal Pancreatectomy: a Multicentre Clinical Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorClinica Universidad de Navarra, Universidad de NavarraRan2024 to 2027Enrolled104ConditionsPostoperative Pancreatic Fistula, Distal Pancreatectomy, DrainageArmsAvoid surgical drainage
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 45 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Akseli BonsdorffGastroenterological Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-2096-6131
Poya GhorbaniDivision of Surgery, Department of Clinical Science, Intervention, and Technology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Ilkka HelanteräTransplantation and Liver Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Timo TarvainenGastroenterological Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Tea KontioTransplantation and Liver Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Hanna BelfrageGastroenterological Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Jukka SirénGastroenterological Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Arto KokkolaGastroenterological Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Ernesto SparrelidDivision of Surgery, Department of Clinical Science, Intervention, and Technology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Ville SallinenGastroenterological Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-5394-4169
University of Helsinki · FIKarolinska Institutet · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHighly utilized risk scores for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) have guided clinical decision-making in pancreatoduodenectomy. However, none has been successfully developed for distal pancreatectomy. This study aimed to develop and validate a new fistula risk score for distal pancreatectomy.

methodsPatients undergoing distal pancreatectomy at Helsinki University Hospital, Finland from 2013 to 2021, and at Karolinska University Hospital, Sweden, from 2010 to 2020, were included retrospectively. The outcome was CR-POPF, according to the 2016 International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery definition. Preoperative clinical demographics and radiological parameters such as pancreatic thickness and duct diameter were measured. A logistic regression model was developed, internally validated with bootstrapping, and the performance assessed in an external validation cohort.

resultsOf 668 patients from Helsinki (266) and Stockholm (402), 173 (25.9 per cent) developed CR-POPF. The final model consisted of three variables assessed before surgery: transection site (neck versus body/tail), pancreatic thickness at transection site, and diabetes. The model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.904 (95 per cent c.i. 0.855 to 0.949) after internal validation, and 0.798 (0.748 to 0.848) after external validation. The calibration slope and intercept on external validation were 0.719 and 0.192 respectively. Four risk groups were defined in the validation cohort for clinical applicability: low (below 5 per cent), moderate (at least 5 but below 30 per cent), high (at least 30 but below 75 per cent), and extreme (75 per cent or more). The incidences in these groups were 8.7 per cent (11 of 126), 22.0 per cent (36 of 164), 63 per cent (57 of 91), and 81 per cent (17 of 21) respectively.

conclusionThe DISPAIR score after distal pancreatectomy may guide decision-making and allow a risk-adjusted outcome comparison for CR-POPF.

Indexed as

PancreatectomyPancreatic FistulaHumansPancreaticoduodenectomyPostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective StudiesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID35983583
PMCPMC10364701
OpenAlexW4300124581

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.