Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35974457›Full record

ArticleBiometrics2023

Bayesian treatment screening and selection using subgroup-specific utilities of response and toxicity.

Juhee Lee, Peter F Thall, Pavlos Msaouel

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biometrics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Noncomparative Comparisons: The Paradox of Randomized Noncomparative Trials.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Novel Clinical Trial Designs with Dose Optimization to Improve Long-term Outcomes.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2023
    Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Juhee LeeDepartment of Statistics, Baskin School of Engineering, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9787-3830
Peter F ThallDepartment of Biostatistics, M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7293-529X
Pavlos MsaouelDepartments of Genitourinary Medical Oncology and Translational Molecular Pathology, M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6505-8308
The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · USUniversity of California, Santa Cruz · US

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Fabien Delerue · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
Bayesian Methods for Complex Precision Biotherapy Trials in OncologyR01CA261978 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI LIN, RUITAO, THALL, PETER F · 2021 to 2024
$1.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS R01 CA261978
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A Bayesian design is proposed for randomized phase II clinical trials that screen multiple experimental treatments compared to an active control based on ordinal categorical toxicity and response. The underlying model and design account for patient heterogeneity characterized by ordered prognostic subgroups. All decision criteria are subgroup specific, including interim rules for dropping unsafe or ineffective treatments, and criteria for selecting optimal treatments at the end of the trial. The design requires an elicited utility function of the two outcomes that varies with the subgroups. Final treatment selections are based on posterior mean utilities. The methodology is illustrated by a trial of targeted agents for metastatic renal cancer, which motivated the design methodology. In the context of this application, the design is evaluated by computer simulation, including comparison to three designs that conduct separate trials within subgroups, or conduct one trial while ignoring subgroups, or base treatment selection on estimated response rates while ignoring toxicity.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic AgentsResearch DesignBayes TheoremClinical Trials, Phase II as TopicComputer SimulationHumansRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicAntineoplastic AgentsBayesian designclusteringpatient prognostic subgroupstreatment screening designutility function

Identifiers

PMID35974457
PMCPMC9931950
OpenAlexW4292295349

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.