Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35965464›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences2022

Heterogeneity in the onwards transmission risk between local and imported cases affects practical estimates of the time-dependent reproduction number.

R Creswell, D Augustin, I Bouros, H J Farm, S Miao, A Ahern, M Robinson, A Lemenuel-Diot, D J Gavaghan, B C Lambert and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  4. A mobility-adjusted framework for regional RBMC infectious diseases · 2025
    Article
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  8. Article
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  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Estimation of local time-varying reproduction numbers in noisy surveillance data.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Estimation of age-stratified contact rates during the COVID-19 pandemic using a novel inference algorithm.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
  19. Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
  20. Modelling herd immunity requirements in Queensland: impact of vaccination effectiveness, hesitancy and variants of SARS-CoV-2.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

R CreswellDepartment of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QD, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9491-1897
D AugustinDepartment of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QD, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4885-1088
I BourosDepartment of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QD, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5532-3603
H J FarmDepartment of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QD, UK.
S MiaoMathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK.
A AhernMathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK.
M RobinsonDepartment of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QD, UK.
A Lemenuel-DiotRoche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Pharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel CH-4070, Switzerland.
D J GavaghanDepartment of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QD, UK.
B C LambertDepartment of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QD, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4274-4158
R N ThompsonMathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8545-5212

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

During infectious disease outbreaks, inference of summary statistics characterizing transmission is essential for planning interventions. An important metric is the time-dependent reproduction number (

Indexed as

COVID-19Bayes TheoremDisease OutbreaksHumansReproductionTimebranching processesCOVID-19imported casesmathematical modellingreproduction numberSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID35965464
PMCPMC9376709

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.